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Geb is seemingly bound in terms of where he can travel, and has managed to avoid starting any wars of conquest for a remarkably long time; his nation is undoubtedly evil (the whole 'eating living people at a massive scale' thing), but remains a pretty peaceful neighbor.
We have every reason to believe a returned Nex would show no such restraint, and would likely pop out of the Refuge with a blasting wand in each hand. I imagine just about everyone with any shred of power in the region wants to keep that from happening - this might be the AP where that comes up.
Interestingly, Geb is the largest agricultural exporter in both Avistan and Garund, as far as I know. Due to being very fertile land, and because a large majority of it's population doesn't require food.
So, amusingly, going to war with Geb has pretty major logistical issues. Beyond the fact that your own country might rely on importing food, you'd also piss off all of your neighbors that also import food from Geb.
It might not be enough to cause a famine across Avistan/Garund, but it would definitely cause some serious economic issues if Geb is attacked.
Food for thought. Though sadly, it's not all that often that authors tend to think on a large scale political/economic level for APs sadly. There's quite a few that would have more going on, but there's page count limits and stuff. Iron Gods is a big one for that, as is WotR.