I am TERRIBLE at mathematics, and worse at probability.
Could someone please tell me the odds of someone rolling a 100, then 90, then 90 again in that exact order on a d100?
I want to find out just how rare it would be for a variant aasimar from Blood of Angels to have +6 Charisma in lieu of here Spell-like ability.
For that exact order? It's 1%, 1% then 1% again. .01*.01*.01 so a .000001 chance. Literally 1 in a million. However, it should be noted that ANY combination on that table is 1 in a million. Including 22, 17, 86 or whatever else.
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Man, I feel you on that Ravingdork.
I game with a Lawyer, a Math Major, a Philosophy Major, and a Computer System Analyst in the Navy(I think that the title).
Who am I in the group? The former starving artist, who spent about 5 years homeless. I tend to get lost in a lot of conversations.
I have known these guys for over 15 years(not how much more), and I am still the guy who knows the rules of 3.5 and Pathfinder the best.
Of course, the moment I need to use any math, I usually have to look to someone else.
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As they said above, one in a million. There are 2 chances in a million of getting a racial stat mod of +6 off that table. 36 chances of getting two extra +2 racial ability bonuses which may or may not be to the same ability score.
And of course a really good chance of getting something totally useless. Detect pregnancy ...
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I want to find out just how rare it would be for a variant aasimar from Blood of Angels to have +6 Charisma in lieu of here Spell-like ability.
Every single three part combination of the results of three % die rolls is equally rare.
I haven't seen the tables in question, but if every power only covers a single number (as opposed to a range of numbers, like '1-10 = horns') then every single power has exactly the same likelihood, no matter how unlikely in individual power is.
Now, has there been any mention of the frequency of aasimar in Golarion?
We know it is 1 in a million out of the aasimar population, but can we get a ballpark figure on how rare such a character would in the world as a whole?
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Now, has there been any mention of the frequency of aasimar in Golarion?
We know it is 1 in a million out of the aasimar population, but can we get a ballpark figure on how rare such a character would in the world as a whole?
Aasimar are way less than 1% of the population in most of Golarion. Though there is one whole nation with a bunch of them, so maybe call it 2% total. Golarion also almost certainly has less than 1 billion people. So that's a max of 20 million Aasimar, and probably much less. So less than 20 people worldwide. I'd speculate less than 10.
Potentially 20 such aasimar in the whole world? That's actually more than I would have thought.
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Potentially 20 such aasimar in the whole world? That's actually more than I would have thought.
That's a really high-end estimate, assuming both a higher population for Golarion and a higher Aasimar percentage of that population than is likely. Half that number seems a lot more reasonable.
In a world with gods, they can twist fate in their favor making the improbable probable.
In a world with gods, they can twist fate in their favor making the improbable probable.In a world with players, they can twist the rules in their favor making their characters probable. ;)
Though both those statements are quite true, it's not really rules bending since the table specifically says selecting specific abilities is okay if the GM allows for it.
Is it even possible to get the same result two or more times on this table?
Is it even possible to get the same result two or more times on this table?
Yes, but you have to roll 100 first, which lets you roll twice for two abilities. Then, you have to roll the same ability twice. That, or tell your GM "this is what I want with this character" and hope he approves it.
Since all the bonuses are untyped pretty much across the board, it's fairly safe to say they all stack with each other as well.
Potentially 20 such aasimar in the whole world? That's actually more than I would have thought.That's a really high-end estimate, assuming both a higher population for Golarion and a higher Aasimar percentage of that population than is likely. Half that number seems a lot more reasonable.
That's also assuming every assimar uses the variant table, which, assuming that's true, would make the rarest result... the basic spell-like ability the aasimar come with.
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That's also assuming every assimar uses the variant table, which, assuming that's true, would make the rarest result... the basic spell-like ability the aasimar come with.Potentially 20 such aasimar in the whole world? That's actually more than I would have thought.That's a really high-end estimate, assuming both a higher population for Golarion and a higher Aasimar percentage of that population than is likely. Half that number seems a lot more reasonable.
Oooh, excellent point. That's probably less than half of Aasimar. Dropping the number to, say, 8 or so as a high end estimate, and probably more like 4 or so in reality.
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If any of those aasimar w/+6 CHA are commoners with less than the elite array it might be hard to pick out that they even have that racial modifier.
I suspect that many aasimars end up becoming adventurers and thus don't often use the basic array.
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I suspect that many aasimars end up becoming adventurers and thus don't often use the basic array.
Right...but adventurers are normally like, 5% of the population at most (that's the figure I use for all people of PC classes, actually). Even if Aasimar are 10 times as likely to become adventurers, that's still only half of them.
If we're theorising 10-20 million aasimar they won't all be adventurers, or likely even non-adventuring types with PC classes.
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Ludicrously improbable is standard for PCs.
Did you know that 80% Paladins, from the Worldwound to Katapesh to Cheliax were found in the woods as a child (Fey Foundling feat)? Or that they were all brought up by magical beasts (Magical Knack trait)? Or that the vat majority of adventurers, those fearless superhuman maniacs were bullied as a child (Reactionary trait)?
Now, has there been any mention of the frequency of aasimar in Golarion?
We know it is 1 in a million out of the aasimar population, ...
This doesn't follow. From a technical perspective, you're making an unwarranted independence assumption.
In less technical language -- does being an aasimar breed true? (E.g., if two aasimars marry and have children, what race are those children?) If a half-angel has six aasimar children, will those children have any similarities in their abilities?
It makes little sense to me that I should be peri-blooded but my twin sister garuda-blooded. But by the same token, if I inherited a specific ability from my grandfather, that's likely to be the same ability my twin sister inherited.
