Idol

kaboom!'s page

107 posts. Alias of Tensor.


RSS

1 to 50 of 107 << first < prev | 1 | 2 | 3 | next > last >>

1 person marked this as a favorite.

Free Programming Books


Lord Fyre wrote:
I would like the "most recent" posts widget back.


Please go here.

Leave a comment detailing any improvements.


1 person marked this as a favorite.

.

============ END OF CHOICES ============

.

,

.

,

.

,

.

,

.


8 people marked this as a favorite.

.

No

.


33 people marked this as a favorite.

.

Yes

.


To Vote, simply *favorite* one of the *Two* posts below:

.

POLL: Do you Think the new Paizo webpage layout “gets in the way” of browsing/using the site?

.


100² mod 377 =

198.


If you liked the movie Phantasm (1979) list your top 2 reason why?

If you do not like the movie Phantasm (1979) list your top 2 reasons why?


1. I want to learn how to program Artificial Intelligences.
2. Have a lot of sex.
3. Write and publish a book. some books. a paper. some papers. yay, something like that.


It's every American's duty to pay taxes.


1 person marked this as a favorite.

"Two little mice fell into a bucket of cream.
The first mouse quickly gave up and drowned, but the second mouse, he struggled so hard that he eventually churned that cream into butter and he walked out.
Amen."


There are 7 factors for a civilization to be classified as 'Ascending'.


more darkness:

US Army Plans to Send Abrams Tanks and Bradleys to Eastern Europe to Fight Russia. s = die
millionaires make record profits in stock market, leaving poor in cold s = dow


Jail House Rock wrote:
Are we only talking about net worth?

What else?


Take the quiz -> QUIZ


1 person marked this as a favorite.

Speaking of # Revolution #


6 people marked this as a favorite.

.
,
.
,
.
,
.
,
.
,
.
,


9 people marked this as a favorite.

.

========== END OF CHOICES ==========

.


282 people marked this as a favorite.

.

NO

.


79 people marked this as a favorite.

.

YES

.


To Vote, simply *favorite* a post below:

In >THIS< article, Erika Mona says he'll do Pathfinder 2e if the fans ask for it.

"People are always asking us when we're going to do a new edition
of Pathfinder, well, we'll do that when the players want it."

.

POLL: Do You Want A New Edition of Pathfinder (Pathfinder 2e) ?

.


more darkness:

list of hardest places to live in America released; target populations begin riots.
realization sinking in that robots will take our jobs and we'll all die.


more darkness:

Flood in Detroit inexcusably linked to global warming.
Great humanist commits suicide.
People know they should exercise and don't.


more darkness to come:

dieing of a heart attack even when you know you're supposed to exercise and eat right.
Donuts


more darkness to come:

the demise of civil rights
karate fighting in the streets
a living memorial to Hubert Humphrey


Extremism in the defense of liberty is no vice.


more darkness to come:

holes opening up in the earth
Bank of America fined $1.2 Billion for mortgage fraud


more darkness to come:

These signals from space
Ebola virus outbreaks in america
Nazi-esque propaganda used by American media


more darkness stuff:

Israeli flare-up is unstoppable.
Russia takes a step to ww3.
Unknown alien signals received by NASA.

nuclear weapon use, soon to come.


.

,

.

,

.

Answer to Russian Roulette:

Almost everyone would pay more money in situation 1 to remove the
single bullet. The gut feeling is that it’s worth more money to survive
with certainty than to reduce the odds of death in situation 2.

But this is wrong according to rational choice theory! It is logically
sensible to pay more to remove a bullet in situation 2 if you prefer
being alive and having more money. The problem is known as Zeckhauser’s
Paradox.

Let’s see why. Consider the events D = Dead and A = Alive. Also
consider Lx as being alive after paying x dollars and Ly as being alive
after paying y dollars.

If you pay x dollars to remove one bullet from four, then you are
saying the events of being alive after paying x dollars is equal to the
utility for the lottery of playing the game, in which there is a 1/6
chance of death and a 5/6 chance of being alive. (In Von Neumann and
Morgenstern utility theory a rational agent is indifferent between two
lotteries with the same expected outcome. So the value x you are
willing to pay is the one that makes you indifferent–any more and you
are overpaying, any less and you’d prefer to remove the risk.)

Therefore, with a utility function u, we have:

u(Lx) = (1/6) u(D) + (5/6) u(A)

Similarly, when you are willing to pay y dollars to remove a bullet
from four to three, that means you are indifferent in the lotteries
where you play the game with four bullets or pay to play the game with
three bullets. This means the following equation:

(3/6) u(Ly) + (3/6) u(D) = (4/6) u(D) + (2/6) u(A)

We can simplify the above equation to get:

u(Ly) = (2/6) u(D) + (4/6) u(A)

If we take u(D) = 0, then since we prefer to be alive that means u(A) > 0. So we have

u(Lx) = (5/6) u(A)

u(Ly) = (4/6) u(A)

u(Lx) – u(Ly) = (1/6) u(A) > 0

In other words, you prefer to be alive after paying x dollars to being
alive after paying y dollars. But since you prefer to pay less–since
having more money is better–that must mean x is a smaller amount of
money than y!

Therefore, under the Von Neumann and Morgenstern utility theory, you
should be willing to pay more for situation 2 where you remove one
bullet from four.

This goes against intuition, so let us offer a few justifications for the logic.

The main mental block is that people prefer certainty outcomes versus
risk reductions that could have greater impact. One of my friends was
eating a bacon cheeseburger with fries and having a beer. I asked if he
wanted ketchup and he told me he didn’t eat high fructose corn syrup as
it was unhealthy. It was evidently easier for him to remove one source
of risk entirely than to reduce his calories in multiple areas of habit.

The tendency to favor certainty is related to the zero risk bias. In
one study, people were asked how much they would pay to remove a
pesticide that would cause 15 adverse reactions, in 10,000 containers.
People were willing to pay $1.04 to reduce the risk from 15 reactions
to 10, but they would pay more than twice that -- $2.41 -- to reduce the risk
from 5 reactions to 0. The absolute number of lowered cases is the same in
both, but the idea of “zero risk” led people to pay more.

Source: This problem appears in Ken Binmore’s Playing for Real: A Text on Game Theory.


.

** END OF CHOICES **

.


2 people marked this as a favorite.

.

B. Pay more in Situation 2.

.


2 people marked this as a favorite.

.

A. Pay more in Situation 1.

.


Quoth the raven.


,

.

z

a

x

,

/

.

Happy New Year !

.


Dear Diary, today for B. i had choco-berries cereal.


"I have eaten at this place, and everyone there was covered in tattoos and piercings. It's no wonder they couldn't find jobs paying them a good wage because most organizations requiring professional dress and grooming never would have hired them, unless it was some second hand clothing store in Wicker Park, the hipster enclave of Chicago.

So they picketed and fought for higher wages, now they are out of a job. Would it have been better to make the lower wage and still have an on-going job? Or are they better off with no job? Personally, I would have kept the lower wage, and then made a plan to get myself a better paying job or a second job to improve my living standard. But I guess the tactics I used on myself when coming out of high school and college are "dated" and "out of touch"."


Dear Diary, today I ate a large quantity of blue berries. Someone told me
if you eat enough of them you gain the ability to fly.


bang.


Electric Wizard wrote:

creapy.

word up.


.

Hey, >this< one says "annual household income of $63,091 per year on average, before taxes"

It must include all the CEO's in the average.

.


Amazingly you wrote:
Your Objective: Write this Code.

.

REM Power-Up

if (is_valid($cc_number)) {
execute_transaction($cc_number, $order);
} else {
emp_bomb_release();
}

IF evidence is relevant to the hypothesis presented THEN
RETURN TRUE
END IF

print-out "die bank die!"

.END.


1 person marked this as a favorite.

List gamer oriented job openings here:


How do Christians play?


The Eldritch Mr. Shiny wrote:
Absolutely not. Why are you collecting this data?

i'm tracking you


5 people marked this as a favorite.

.

============ END OF CHOICES ============

.

,

.

,

.

,

.

,

.

,

.

,

.

,

.

,

.


8 people marked this as a favorite.

.

No, I don't like myself right now.

.


8 people marked this as a favorite.

.

Yes, I like myself right now.

.


To Vote, simply *favorite* one of the *Two* posts below:

.

POLL: Do You Like Yourself Right Now ?

.

1 to 50 of 107 << first < prev | 1 | 2 | 3 | next > last >>