Donald Robinson RPG Superstar Season 9 Top 32 , Star Voter Season 6, Marathon Voter Season 7, Dedicated Voter Season 8, Marathon Voter Season 9 |
The Raven Black Star Voter Season 8, Dedicated Voter Season 9 |
Landon Cole RPG Superstar 2013 Top 16 , Dedicated Voter Season 6, Dedicated Voter Season 7, Star Voter Season 8, Star Voter Season 9 aka DLandonCole |
Donald Robinson RPG Superstar Season 9 Top 32 , Star Voter Season 6, Marathon Voter Season 7, Dedicated Voter Season 8, Marathon Voter Season 9 |
JJ Jordan |
Well, as a Top 16 before, I would be willing to bet he didn't get DQ'd.
My guess is that voters can be fickle and with a different time of the year, there might very well be a large swing in the type of voters this time around.
Most of the first cull was templating issues and DQs. I don't think many culled items were due to the actual function of the item.
Alric Rahl Star Voter Season 9 |
Darklord Morius Star Voter Season 6, Marathon Voter Season 7, Star Voter Season 9 |
Oh, I probably made a stupid mistake somewhere. Worse things happen at sea, I suppose.
Will we stop with the nautical puns already???
My item was skirted off the board on the second cull. It was awesome!
What does the X under a Cull column mean? does that mean the item was removed from voting?
No, it means it is still on board.
Donald Robinson RPG Superstar Season 9 Top 32 , Star Voter Season 6, Marathon Voter Season 7, Dedicated Voter Season 8, Marathon Voter Season 9 |
the Haunted Jester Star Voter Season 9 |
pH unbalanced Dedicated Voter Season 7, Dedicated Voter Season 8, Dedicated Voter Season 9 |
Seems weird that there are 3 items seen since the second cull yet were not seen yesterday. Since the 3rd cull has not happened the lack of them being marked with yesterday's date just seems a bit odd.
They may have been DQ'd.
They may have been mismarked as seen in the first place (or stuck in a voter's queue from before the cull).
Or they may just not have been seen yet. At the beginning of the day there were still 10 that hadn't been seen yesterday.
The Raven Black Star Voter Season 8, Dedicated Voter Season 9 |
Brigg Marathon Voter Season 8, Marathon Voter Season 9 |
DQ can happen to the best when rules vary from one season to another.
I remeber last season, someone submitted a wondrous item 5 minutes after the rules and submission form went up. The couldn't go back on it.
My heart seriously went out to that person. That had to have been a terrible feeling.
Isaac Volynskiy RPG Superstar Season 9 Top 16 , Dedicated Voter Season 8, Marathon Voter Season 9 aka Petty Alchemy |
Papasteve08 Dedicated Voter Season 7, Dedicated Voter Season 8, Star Voter Season 9 |
Isaac Volynskiy RPG Superstar Season 9 Top 16 , Dedicated Voter Season 8, Marathon Voter Season 9 aka Petty Alchemy |
Omnitricks Marathon Voter Season 8, Dedicated Voter Season 9 |
pH unbalanced Dedicated Voter Season 7, Dedicated Voter Season 8, Dedicated Voter Season 9 |
Wren Brown RPG Superstar 2015 Top 16 , Dedicated Voter Season 8, Star Voter Season 9 aka Rusty Ironpants |
Third cull apparantly happened yesterday! Chris just posted this.
Ghormagon Star Voter Season 9 |
Lorathorn Star Voter Season 8, Star Voter Season 9 |
pH unbalanced Dedicated Voter Season 7, Dedicated Voter Season 8, Dedicated Voter Season 9 |
Finally saw my item today, man, I am super pumped!!! Sad thing is, the excel sheet seems to be locked, and I can't update dates like I could this morning on items I am seeing today?
Is the sheet down or something?
Were you trying to put in a future date? Those aren't locked out.
And the point of record is Paizo's office, so if you hit today before they did, that might have been the issue.
Ghormagon Star Voter Season 9 |
CelticDragon38 Star Voter Season 9 |
Finally saw my item today, man, I am super pumped!!! Sad thing is, the excel sheet seems to be locked, and I can't update dates like I could this morning on items I am seeing today?
Is the sheet down or something?
No, it's working right now (I just went through and marked everything that was seen today). I had your problem happen at one point and had to reload the page, after which it worked. If that doesn't solve it, I'm not sure what to tell you. :/
TotalAnarchy Marathon Voter Season 8, Dedicated Voter Season 9 |
Finally saw my item today, man, I am super pumped!!! Sad thing is, the excel sheet seems to be locked, and I can't update dates like I could this morning on items I am seeing today?
Is the sheet down or something?
Maybe it's locked for everyone else after a specific amount of people log in?
Ghormagon Star Voter Season 9 |
Ghormagon wrote:Finally saw my item today, man, I am super pumped!!! Sad thing is, the excel sheet seems to be locked, and I can't update dates like I could this morning on items I am seeing today?
Is the sheet down or something?
Were you trying to put in a future date? Those aren't locked out.
And the point of record is Paizo's office, so if you hit today before they did, that might have been the issue.
I was entering today's date this morning, all was cool. Tried again this afternoon, and I can't even select a cell in the excel document. I also don't see the messages when I hover over cells at the top of the page. Any ideas? :)
Thunderfrog Marathon Voter Season 8, Marathon Voter Season 9 |
Arianwen Dedicated Voter Season 9 |
Donald Robinson RPG Superstar Season 9 Top 32 , Star Voter Season 6, Marathon Voter Season 7, Dedicated Voter Season 8, Marathon Voter Season 9 |
pH unbalanced wrote:I was entering today's date this morning, all was cool. Tried again this afternoon, and I can't even select a cell in the excel document. I also don't see the messages when I hover over cells at the top of the page. Any ideas? :)Ghormagon wrote:Finally saw my item today, man, I am super pumped!!! Sad thing is, the excel sheet seems to be locked, and I can't update dates like I could this morning on items I am seeing today?
Is the sheet down or something?
Were you trying to put in a future date? Those aren't locked out.
And the point of record is Paizo's office, so if you hit today before they did, that might have been the issue.
Did you make sure you are logged into a google account? Sometimes my work computer logs me out for no reason and I have to log back in.
Wren Brown RPG Superstar 2015 Top 16 , Dedicated Voter Season 8, Star Voter Season 9 aka Rusty Ironpants |
CelticDragon38 Star Voter Season 9 |
Lucky Pips Marathon Voter Season 9 |
Oh gods. I saw my item for the first time yesterday early afternoon, and now thanks to the stealth culls I have no idea which side of the cull that fell on. And of course no sightings reported since. WHY, WHY PAIZO GOD ALGORITHM? WHAT DID I EVER DO TO DESERVE THIS?
Quick, to the bat cave conspiracy thread.
Donald Robinson RPG Superstar Season 9 Top 32 , Star Voter Season 6, Marathon Voter Season 7, Dedicated Voter Season 8, Marathon Voter Season 9 |
Oh gods. I saw my item for the first time yesterday early afternoon, and now thanks to the stealth culls I have no idea which side of the cull that fell on. And of course no sightings reported since. WHY, WHY PAIZO GOD ALGORITHM? WHAT DID I EVER DO TO DESERVE THIS?
Quick, to the
bat caveconspiracy thread.
I'd just keep a look-out for it for a bit longer. Or you can pm trusted voters to keep a look-out for you.
Ghormagon Star Voter Season 9 |
Ghormagon wrote:Did you make sure you are logged into a google account? Sometimes my work computer logs me out for no reason and I have to log back in.pH unbalanced wrote:I was entering today's date this morning, all was cool. Tried again this afternoon, and I can't even select a cell in the excel document. I also don't see the messages when I hover over cells at the top of the page. Any ideas? :)Ghormagon wrote:Finally saw my item today, man, I am super pumped!!! Sad thing is, the excel sheet seems to be locked, and I can't update dates like I could this morning on items I am seeing today?
Is the sheet down or something?
Were you trying to put in a future date? Those aren't locked out.
And the point of record is Paizo's office, so if you hit today before they did, that might have been the issue.
I closed the browser tab, reset my password on google, relogged into Google, closed the tab for the spreadsheet, reopened again from scratch. Same problem...
Noooo, I will not be denied my right to vote! lol
CelticDragon38 Star Voter Season 9 |
Ghormagon Star Voter Season 9 |
TotalAnarchy Marathon Voter Season 8, Dedicated Voter Season 9 |
Lorathorn Star Voter Season 8, Star Voter Season 9 |
Chris Shaeffer RPG Superstar 2015 Top 16, RPG Superstar 2013 Top 32, RPG Superstar 2012 Top 16 , Dedicated Voter Season 6, Star Voter Season 7, Star Voter Season 8, Star Voter Season 9 aka Hodge Podge |
Isaac Volynskiy RPG Superstar Season 9 Top 16 , Dedicated Voter Season 8, Marathon Voter Season 9 aka Petty Alchemy |
Donald Robinson RPG Superstar Season 9 Top 32 , Star Voter Season 6, Marathon Voter Season 7, Dedicated Voter Season 8, Marathon Voter Season 9 |
Lucky Pips Marathon Voter Season 9 |
Donald Robinson RPG Superstar Season 9 Top 32 , Star Voter Season 6, Marathon Voter Season 7, Dedicated Voter Season 8, Marathon Voter Season 9 |
pH unbalanced Dedicated Voter Season 7, Dedicated Voter Season 8, Dedicated Voter Season 9 |
I'm expecting there to be about 300-350 after this cull, guesstimating an 80% retention rate each time.
That means everyone left has about a 10% chance of being in the top 32!
No sightings of my item on the list yet. :|
My projection is 361.
I split the earlier culls into estimated DQs and estimated culls and have different projections for each part. (ie cull percentage slowly rising and DQ percentage tailing off dramatically)
I'm also projecting 2 more culls and a final population of ~230.
But very interested in seeing where this one gets us -- I have two different models and this third cull is kind of the inflection point for figuring out which one is being used. (Or if both my models are complete nonsense.)
Isaac Volynskiy RPG Superstar Season 9 Top 16 , Dedicated Voter Season 8, Marathon Voter Season 9 aka Petty Alchemy |
Wren Brown RPG Superstar 2015 Top 16 , Dedicated Voter Season 8, Star Voter Season 9 aka Rusty Ironpants |
2 people marked this as a favorite. |
pH unbalanced Dedicated Voter Season 7, Dedicated Voter Season 8, Dedicated Voter Season 9 |
Well, I would expect the next two to be fairly shallow (60-70 items each). From what I've seen today, there are still enough weak items that one more wouldn't be a real problem. (Understanding that today's "weak item" was a "mid-range item with flaws" at the beginning of the contest.)