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May I suggest "preparing for the best" and not "expecting the worst," is a more positive way of handling this. Try focussing on the next round and what it may or may not be about. Designing so that there is no "first draft" accusation levelled at your work.
As for the length of threads and the exit polls, I would enjoy them as part of the whole experience. I'd be disappointed if some of you didn't get through because this has been a very positive competition with some great camaraderie.
The one thing that I have noticed is that in the first two years, the likes of Gulga, Autumn Leaves, and lots more in year one were really smashing it out the park. I haven't seen that so much this time around. Maybe that's because the general quality is so much higher? I don't know.
Anyway good luck to all the competitors.
RPG Superstar 2009 Top 32, 2010 Top 8
,
Star Voter Season 6
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May I suggest "preparing for the best" and not "expecting the worst," is a more positive way of handling this. Try focussing on the next round and what it may or may not be about. Designing so that there is no "first draft" accusation levelled at your work.
"The Optimist beleives we live in the best of all possible worlds, the pessimist fears its true." You might as well ask Eyeore to cheer up.
I do have a how we got there write up made and stats that I'll post Tuesday, unless the round 3 precludes it. And believe me, I'll be busting my hump if the voters elevate me to the 3rd round. I do know that I went through 4 drafts with an editor, and it stung a bit, since I was a frakking English tutor.
OTOH, look at my 2009 entry, you can see how much I've improved and I do accept that. :-) Win or lose, I enjoy the creativity and the funk out of my bouts of depression.
Now get out there and vote for the Lahamu! ;-)
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Contributor, RPG Superstar 2010 Top 16
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I'm looking more at post count. Which tells me I'm not going to make it. *sigh*Not necessarily. A lot of post count in some threads is people explaining why they don't like the critter and why they're not going to vote for it. (And then, in my case, other people telling them their arguments are full of beans.)
It's perfectly reasonable to have a terrific entry that is so cool that nobody needs to chime in and elaborate.
In any case, I listed the threads in order of length.
** spoiler omitted **
I am pretty sure postcount is a poor metric. I am certainly not feeling like my creature is doing as well as it's post count suggests.
I haven't checked the exit polls... too scared.
Re: Exit polls
I'm looking more at post count. Which tells me I'm not going to make it. *sigh*
For what it is worth, you earned my vote. Good Luck!
Thank you, your check's in the mail (kidding judges! kidding!)
I figure if you advance one additional round each year, you'll be a superstar in 2015!
Just kidding. ;) Keep up the good work though!
An optimist: hopes for the best at all times and is often disapointed when things don't turn out as good as he hoped for.
A pessimist: expects the worst at all times and is often enraptured when things don't turn out as bad as he expected.
which would you rather be? often disapointed or often enraptured?
...I will say that posts from the contestant on their own thread of almost any stripe (even if by a crazy alias such as Bracht or Gulga) do create an impression that the contestant is interested and enthused about what is going on; it helps to build rapport. If that is useful in terms of the bigger picture of voting, I'm not sure.
Personally, I think it can be useful, but you're only allowed to comment on your stuff after the voting has ended. So, I found the best way to honor the rules and still talk about my stuff was to always come back after the voting and talk about my previous round's stuff. I think I pretty much did the same thing whether I was posting in my threads or someone else's...i.e., I waited until after voting had finished.
...which would you rather be? often disappointed or often enraptured?
Neil's Philosophy 101:
To an optimist, even a disappointing outcome isn't really disappointing...because there's still optimism to be found in every outcome. ;-)
For a pessimist, low expectations often dictate a poor outcome because their energy level isn't up enough to do their best work. So, it's a self-defeating cycle that more rarely fosters enrapturing outcomes.
Wow, Neil, that's gotta be the shortest post you've ever made. lol.
guess we'll just have to agree to disagree about our views on this subject, huh?
Wow, Neil, that's gotta be the shortest post you've ever made. lol.
guess we'll just have to agree to disagree about our views on this subject, huh?
Yep. ;-)
Hmm need a motto for the lahamu w/o giving it away...
Vote for lahamu, she bites?
Nope, still needs work.
Hmm, well, judging by its stated abilities, the lahamu would vote for you just to see the other guy squirm.
No, really, what you need is a YouTube meme of gargantuan proportions. Something with a catchy breakaway pop soundtrack. Think Lahamugirl.
No, really, what you need is a YouTube meme of gargantuan proportions. Something with a catchy breakaway pop soundtrack. Think Lahamugirl.
HA!
Matthew if you get some cutie in a tight t-shirt, singin' and dancin' to the virtues of your RPG Superstar Monster on Youtube.. you will get one of my votes. That's a promise.
Chief Technical Officer
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If I remember correctly the last two years the exit polls were only 20-25% accurate to the actual running.That's completely untrue. The exit polls were spot-on accurate through almost every round, especially last year. The only rounds last year that the exit polls didn't get right was Boemundo advancing to Top 16 from the back of the pack...which means he bumped one guy off the Top 16 vote-getters in the exit poll (i.e., the guy in last place). And then, in Round Four (the villain's lair round), both Randy Dorman and Trevor Gulliver were in fourth and fifth place in the exit poll, but Matthew Stinson came from behind to leap-frog both of them. Those were the only instances last year where the exit polls weren't 100% correct. And, on everything else (even within those same rounds), they were dead accurate.
I'd point out that you also have a limited view of the data, in that we only tell you who made the cut, but not the order, or how big a gap there was between contestants, or how close anyone was to the cutoff. As somebody who does have access to that data, I'll tell you that I definitely see a bigger margin of error in the exit poll than you probably do, and in some rounds, just a couple of votes one way or the other would probably have made the exit polls look a lot less accurate to you overall. And certainly, there have been rounds where the poll suggests somebody did very well when the reality is that they only squeaked through, or vice versa.
However, I'll also admit that the exit polls are good enough that if it they suggest that somebody squeaked through, and the real results showed that they were a runaway success, we might look a bit more closely at the individual votes to make sure there's nothing hinky going on.
Hmm need a motto for the lahamu w/o giving it away...
Vote for lahamu, she bites?
Nope, still needs work.
Seeing as it's a charisma-munching monster?
'Vote for the lahamu. It's where the beautiful people are.'
Seeing as it's a charisma-munching monster?
'Vote for the lahamu. It's where the beautiful people are.'
That should be "where the beautiful people were". What with all the Charisma munching and so forth.
That should be "where the beautiful people were". What with all the Charisma munching and so forth.Seeing as it's a charisma-munching monster?
'Vote for the lahamu. It's where the beautiful people are.'
No, are. As in, the lahamu's belly.
Hmm need a motto for the lahamu w/o giving it away...
Vote for lahamu, she bites?
Nope, still needs work.
Yeah, I've been pondering myself the potential lame-ness of:
The Spitfire Revenant - Hot enough for ya?
or
Vote Spitfire Revenant! He'll be pleased to meat you all in the next round!
...there have been rounds where the poll suggests somebody did very well when the reality is that they only squeaked through, or vice versa.
If I were a betting man, I'd say I probably fell into that category on a round or two last year.
If I remember correctly the last two years the exit polls were only 20-25% accurate to the actual running.... The exit polls were spot-on accurate through almost every round, especially last year. ...
--Neil
I stand corrected. :)
...
made the exit polls look a lot less accurate to you overall. ...
and sort of vindicated :)
However, I'll also admit that the exit polls are good enough that if it they suggest that somebody squeaked through, and the real results showed that they were a runaway success, we might look a bit more closely at the individual votes to make sure there's nothing hinky going on.
Honestly I read the exit polls, but after the first little bit I stopped counting. You obviously had a bigger stake in them than me and gleaning them for SWOT analysis is absolutely necessary. That it worked for you is enough to say how close the exit polls are. :)
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Clark/Vic, would you fellas mind if I posted my monster submission and the judges critique I received after this round is complete and the next round begun? I just think seeing the judges comments might assist other submitters in the future.
I do not want to cause issue, so I will happily wait until 4th round or later, if you prefer.
I got it!
Scooby lahamu! Where are you?
You almost made me spit hotpocket.
