
Irontruth |

Also, I don't deny that deforestation for palm oil production is bad. But the numbers would indicate that EU demand for used cooking oil is not the primary driver of demand.
Double checking some numbers, worldwide, palm oil production is roughly 63 billion liters, which accounts for roughly 31% of all oil/fat production in the world. Rapeseed oil, which can also be used for biofuel, is produced at about 2/3's the rate of palm oil, so roughly 100 billion liters between these two oils per year.
UK's UCO consumption is roughly 0.1% of this.
The UK's UCO consumption is not even close to being a primary driver of deforestation.
If a hectare of deforestation is the same as 530 people flying from Geneva to NY, and the total deforestation is roughly 1.6 billion of these passengers, the UK's yearly UCO consumption is responsible for about 1.6 million of those.
100 million people fly internationally leaving the US every year.
The carbon footprint of deforestation as a result from the UK's yearly UCO consumption is about the same as 6 days worth of international flights leaving the US.

Quark Blast |
Those are reasonable numbers.
I just thought it was funny that the "green" plan to use biodiesel is in fact raping the earth just that much more. Especially funny was the unused "used cooking oil".
:D
As your most recent post shows, it's not hard to do a run down on the numbers to see if something is totally bonkers. The vast majority of industrial scale wind power installations are similarly corrupt.

Irontruth |

It's one of those things that kinda makes sense on a small scale. When biodiesel largely consisted of home mechanics converting their vans and making deals with local restaurants the benefit was basically all positive.
At scale though, the benefits clearly start to diminish. It's not possible for cooking oil to replace all gasoline/diesel usage. Even if we did, it's still carbon emissions.

Quark Blast |
You can start here:
Wind Power an Even Bigger Waste of Money Than Originally Projected
And then move on to here:
China wasted enough renewable energy to power Beijing for an entire year

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3 people marked this as a favorite. |
You can start here:
Wind Power an Even Bigger Waste of Money Than Originally ProjectedAnd then move on to here:
China wasted enough renewable energy to power Beijing for an entire year
Your second linked site says that china wasted green energy by not constructing enough power transmission lines, which is the fault of wind energy because ... why exactly?
Your first link is to a side whose active news-stories include "13 Days after Benghazi Ilhan Omar Tweeted “Allahu Akbar #LifeisGood”" and "“Lesbian” Who Want’s Women to Wax her ‘Man Parts’ Wants to Host Topless Swims for Girls…", so my trust in that side is rather low.

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Even if we ignore the obvious deficiencies and absurdities of the first source (e.g. 'solar waste products are more toxic than nuclear') and trace the subject of the article back to the origin we find;
An anti wind power group policy paper from 2012
In short, NOT a scientific study. No scientific peer review. No journal reputation at stake for publishing schlock. Just the claims of a front group, the 'Renewable Energy Foundation', created specifically to oppose the use of wind power in the UK.
The fact that the paper is nearly a decade old also means that it's projections of UK wind farms lasting 15 years or less would be coming true by now... if they weren't nonsense. Wind farms in Scotland should be dead and dying... rather than producing twice as much energy as Scotland needs.
As already noted, the second article doesn't indicate any problem with wind power at all... rather, the issue is that China is building new power (not just wind) faster than they are building a grid to distribute it.
Claims of wind power being some sort of government boondoggle are invariably founded on lies. At this point, coal is passing ethanol and nuclear as the biggest boondoggle in the energy sector.

Irontruth |

You can start here:
Wind Power an Even Bigger Waste of Money Than Originally ProjectedAnd then move on to here:
China wasted enough renewable energy to power Beijing for an entire year
The school I'm at is ranked one of the better engineering schools (within the top 30), and I have the same library access as any of the eningeering students. I tracked that wind turbine article back to it's source, a Telegraph article that cites the a professors report, but lookin through online sources, it appears that it has not been peer reviewed or published yet. Not saying it is wrong, but we can't verify that it is right.
Further digging says the report is being published by the Renewable Energy Foundation.
This article sheds some light on the organization.
The report was published in 2011, but has not been peer reviewed or published in any scientific journal.
Doing a quick search at the university library, I found this peer reviewed journal article.
This study does not cherry pick 3000 wind turbines in the UK and Denmark, but rather analyzes ALL wind turbines in the UK. This covers data from 20,000 wind turbines.
They find that there is a slightly larger than expected decline, but they did not feel it was worth abandoning wind over, rather that the cost of wind power should be updated. In the conclusion, they cite wind as costing 9% more over 20 years than originally estimated. Was the original estimate off? Yes. Was it off so much that we should abandon wind power? No.
It amuses me that you routinely claim that you cite so many sources that you should be trusted. Yet, every time I check one of your sources, I find you either misrepresenting at least one idea in it, or a source that should not be trusted. Most of your sources have been fine, but you use them to arrive at conclusions that they directly contradict. This time though, you actually cited a bad source.

Quark Blast |
Your second linked site says that china wasted green energy by not constructing enough power transmission lines, which is the fault of wind energy because ... why exactly?
As already noted, the second article doesn't indicate any problem with wind power at all... rather, the issue is that China is building new power (not just wind) faster than they are building a grid to distribute it.
This study does not cherry pick 3000 wind turbines in the UK and Denmark, but rather analyzes ALL wind turbines in the UK. This covers data from 20,000 wind turbines.
They find that there is a slightly larger than expected decline, but they did not feel it was worth abandoning wind over, rather that the cost of wind power should be updated. In the conclusion, they cite wind as costing 9% more over 20 years than originally estimated. Was the original estimate off? Yes. Was it off so much that we should abandon wind power? No.
1) Tell me which professor would get published in a reputable peer reviewed journal openly criticizing wind power? Any such submission would be shot down under the current political climate.
2) Proper citing of power generation includes connection to the power grid. That turbines were constructed significantly off grid is exactly one of the things that make these projects boondoggles.
3) They are also significantly more costly to maintain because they've been build in to-hell-and-gone nowhere.
4) The environmental costs of wind turbines are hand-waved away in the rush to install. These things kill birds (and bats) with alarming alacrity. And the birds they kill disproportionately are larger (and often threatened or endangered) birds.
5) If people were really worried about the climate they would invest in nuclear power. Current designs are as fail-safe as is humanly possible and if you're worried about site security, build them inside military bases. For that matter let the USN operate them as they have an excellent safety record with nuclear reactors.

thejeff |
DN wrote:Your second linked site says that china wasted green energy by not constructing enough power transmission lines, which is the fault of wind energy because ... why exactly?CB wrote:As already noted, the second article doesn't indicate any problem with wind power at all... rather, the issue is that China is building new power (not just wind) faster than they are building a grid to distribute it.Irontruth wrote:This study does not cherry pick 3000 wind turbines in the UK and Denmark, but rather analyzes ALL wind turbines in the UK. This covers data from 20,000 wind turbines.
They find that there is a slightly larger than expected decline, but they did not feel it was worth abandoning wind over, rather that the cost of wind power should be updated. In the conclusion, they cite wind as costing 9% more over 20 years than originally estimated. Was the original estimate off? Yes. Was it off so much that we should abandon wind power? No.
1) Tell me which professor would get published in a reputable peer reviewed journal openly criticizing wind power? Any such submission would be shot down under the current political climate.
2) Proper citing of power generation includes connection to the power grid. That turbines were constructed significantly off grid is exactly one of the things that make these projects boondoggles.
3) They are also significantly more costly to maintain because they've been build in to-hell-and-gone nowhere.
4) The environmental costs of wind turbines are hand-waved away in the rush to install. These things kill birds (and bats) with alarming alacrity. And the birds they kill disproportionately are larger (and often threatened or endangered) birds.
5) If people were really worried about the climate they would invest in nuclear power. Current designs are as fail-safe as is humanly possible and if you're worried about site security, build them inside military bases. For that matter let the USN operate them as they have an...
Now you're sliding into kook territory with the "science politics prevents anyone from getting published" nonsense. This is the same line climate denialists take about why there's no reputable science backing them up.

Irontruth |

DN wrote:Your second linked site says that china wasted green energy by not constructing enough power transmission lines, which is the fault of wind energy because ... why exactly?CB wrote:As already noted, the second article doesn't indicate any problem with wind power at all... rather, the issue is that China is building new power (not just wind) faster than they are building a grid to distribute it.Irontruth wrote:This study does not cherry pick 3000 wind turbines in the UK and Denmark, but rather analyzes ALL wind turbines in the UK. This covers data from 20,000 wind turbines.
They find that there is a slightly larger than expected decline, but they did not feel it was worth abandoning wind over, rather that the cost of wind power should be updated. In the conclusion, they cite wind as costing 9% more over 20 years than originally estimated. Was the original estimate off? Yes. Was it off so much that we should abandon wind power? No.
1) Tell me which professor would get published in a reputable peer reviewed journal openly criticizing wind power? Any such submission would be shot down under the current political climate.
2) Proper citing of power generation includes connection to the power grid. That turbines were constructed significantly off grid is exactly one of the things that make these projects boondoggles.
3) They are also significantly more costly to maintain because they've been build in to-hell-and-gone nowhere.
4) The environmental costs of wind turbines are hand-waved away in the rush to install. These things kill birds (and bats) with alarming alacrity. And the birds they kill disproportionately are larger (and often threatened or endangered) birds.
5) If people were really worried about the climate they would invest in nuclear power. Current designs are as fail-safe as is humanly possible and if you're worried about site security, build them inside military bases. For that matter let the USN operate them as they have an...
Nothing you listed supports the article you posted as being credible. You didn't actually address anything I said.

Quark Blast |
Now you're sliding into kook territory with the "science politics prevents anyone from getting published" nonsense. This is the same line climate denialists take about why there's no reputable science backing them up.
Am I? Have you read this?
Georgia Tech Climatologist Judith Curry Resigns over 'the CRAZINESS in the field of climate science.'.
QB, you are concerned about wasting money on energy generation, but want an increase in nuclear power of all things?
No, I want an intelligent investment of money in nuclear power. Barring near-miracle tech (and yes I know the Skunk Works is looking to scale a nuclear fusion reactor soon and good luck to them because we need it!), the current "green" plan won't get us to where we need to be nearly fast enough.
.Take a look at the graph for this article:
The climate is warming faster than it has in the last 2,000 years
It shows the expected warming to sail past +1.5°C. If they rewrite this article in another 10 years the graph will be sailing right past +2.0°C.
.
Here's yet another example of what I've been saying:
'Unprecedented' wildfires ravage the Arctic
The average June temperature in Siberia, where the fires are raging, was almost 10 degrees higher than the long-term average between 1981--2010, Dr Claudia Volosciuk, a scientist with the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) told CNN.
There's a metric ####-ton of carbon locked up in the Arctic tundra. Just wait'll our atmosphere gets a load of that. We'll be adjusting our climate models again... upwards... again.
.Here's an unrelated article that shows how one of my main climate theses can work out in other human endeavors:
How Legal Marijuana Is Helping the Black Market
Expensive regulation and high demand across the country have made the illicit trade more profitable than going legit.
What’s happening to Meguerian is a window into one widespread side effect of marijuana legalization in the U.S.: In many cases it has fueled, rather than eliminated, the black market.
In Los Angeles, unlicensed businesses greatly outnumber legal ones; in Oregon, a glut of low-priced legal cannabis has pushed illegal growers to export their goods across borders into other states where it’s still illegal, leaving law enforcement overwhelmed. Three years after Massachusetts voters approved full legalization of marijuana, most of the cannabis economy consists of unlicensed “private clubs,” home growing operations and illicit sales.
Ahhh humanity. So little time, so many things to totally #### up.
:D
thejeff |
thejeff wrote:Now you're sliding into kook territory with the "science politics prevents anyone from getting published" nonsense. This is the same line climate denialists take about why there's no reputable science backing them up.Am I? Have you read this?
Georgia Tech Climatologist Judith Curry Resigns over 'the CRAZINESS in the field of climate science.'
Whatever her other credentials, she's long been a "climate skeptic" in areas where she admits to lacking expertise, jumping onboard the hockey stick, hide the decline nonsense and apparently the mythical global warming pause.
So, I'm not really surprised she's also bought into the kook line about how the scientific establishment is hiding the truth.
I'm kind of surprised you're jumping on board, since taking that seriously pretty much discredits everything you've been arguing. Obviously all the global warming scare mongering is just a product of "Big Wind".

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1) Tell me which professor would get published in a reputable peer reviewed journal openly criticizing wind power? Any such submission would be shot down under the current political climate.
So... shadowy political forces have been undermining the poor defenseless fossil fuel industry to falsely prop up the evil wind power empire by falsifying scientific research all over the world?
That's insane.
Literally.
Setting aside the conspiracy theory, there have been numerous published scientific studies critical of wind power. The whole 'bird killing' thing you bring up later came from scientific findings. There is currently a debate over whether renewable power (including wind) can completely replace fossil fuel power (the 'only nuclear can save us' spiel you also touch on). Etc.
The difference is that those studies included criticisms that were or could be true... whereas the policy paper you referenced was just fiction that no reputable journal would touch.
2) Proper citing of power generation includes connection to the power grid. That turbines were constructed significantly off grid is exactly one of the things that make these projects boondoggles.
What part of China are you not understanding?
They don't HAVE a country wide grid. Many rural areas do not have electricity. Unlike long developed countries they are building the grid and the power generation at the same time. The turbines in question were not constructed "significantly off grid"... rather, they were constructed BEFORE the grid. That's a logistical planning issue. No boondoggle involved.
3) They are also significantly more costly to maintain because they've been build in to-hell-and-gone nowhere.
Where hundreds of millions of people live. Those people don't deserve electricity because it costs more than powering the cities?
4) The environmental costs of wind turbines are hand-waved away in the rush to install. These things kill birds (and bats) with alarming alacrity.
Yes, wind power kills flying animals... just not as many flying animals as coal or natural gas power does.
5) If people were really worried about the climate they would invest in nuclear power.
No.
Even if we ignore the nuclear industry's self-defeating history of putting profit over safety... and the issues around nuclear waste disposal... and the fact that global nuclear power to deal with climate change would perforce allow global nuclear weapon proliferation... and the fact that nuclear power relies on a finite resource that would run out in about a century if we used it as our primary form of power generation...
...it still wouldn't make sense. Nuclear costs more than wind or solar and takes longer to build. Every dollar invested in nuclear rather than wind or solar slows the rate at which we will stop climate change.

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So, I'm not really surprised she's also bought into the kook line about how the scientific establishment is hiding the truth.
Judith Curry gave up on science when the Koch funded 'Berkeley Earth Surface Temperature' (i.e. "BEST") study, which she was a lead author on, inexplicably showed that the various atmospheric temperature anomaly data sets which she had been all set to disprove were, in reality, correct. The planet really is warming... according to the analytical methodology she herself helped develop and signed off on as accurate.
Apparently, the conspiracy is SO insidious that even those seeking to expose it are, without their knowledge, 'in on' it! Diabolical!
After that she refused to accept her own findings, stopped conducting scientific research, resigned, and retreated to railing against reality on her blog.

Quark Blast |
Whatever her other credentials, she's long been a "climate skeptic" in areas where she admits to lacking expertise, jumping onboard the hockey stick, hide the decline nonsense and apparently the mythical global warming pause.
So, I'm not really surprised she's also bought into the kook line about how the scientific establishment is hiding the truth.
I'm kind of surprised you're jumping on board, since taking that seriously pretty much discredits everything you've been arguing. Obviously all the global warming scare mongering is just a product of "Big Wind".
As I understand it, in academia, being qualified as an "expert" in your field is a very narrow bin. That was one factor leading to her publishing. She's not a denier but merely skeptical of broad conclusions from very narrow readings of very limited data.
As I've been arguing my whole time in this thread, I think AGW is quite real and I think the models prior to, say, 2010 are pretty much crap. I think the floor is set too low. I think that has been done so as to avoid scaring the general public into a "why bother" mode of being.
Now we're seeing a rebound from that approach and random crazy #### is making it front-and-center in the debate about what to do regarding AGW. And, yeah, I'm talking about "Green New Deal" level pointless posturing.
The review of her work that I listened to also listed several other academics, mostly from the US and Europe, who commiserated with her on their fear of publishing (or trying to publish) critical articles. The whole issue is so fraught that it's largely ideological anymore. A sad state of affairs for science but then there have been other periods like this so I expect we'll get through this one too.
.
So... shadowy political forces have been undermining the poor defenseless fossil fuel industry to falsely prop up the evil wind power empire by falsifying scientific research all over the world?
That's insane.
Literally.
Setting aside the conspiracy theory, there have been numerous published scientific studies critical of wind power...
Oh yes, so many citations it will take me a moment to read them all. Oh wait, there aren't any. Who was that on this thread accusing me of failing to back up my opinion?
What's that I taste? Irony? Yes, irony it verily pervades the atmosphere.
What part of China are you not understanding?
They don't HAVE a country wide grid... The turbines in question were not constructed "significantly off grid"... rather, they were constructed BEFORE the grid. That's a logistical planning issue. No boondoggle involved.
No boondoggle huh? Is this one of those words you've helpfully redefined in your own lexicon. You know, like "plagiarism"?
:D Snort! wipes away tears of mirthThose people don't deserve electricity because it costs more than powering the cities?
If they don't plan on connection and maintenance needs perhaps they deserve the derision I'm heaping on them.
How about local solar projects instead? Maybe even a cooperative to encourage efficient use as well.
Yes, wind power kills flying animals... just not as many flying animals as coal or natural gas power does.
It's not the number of animals killed that worries me, it's the particular species. And those big wind turbines are putting the smack-down on some very rare birds.
That is a cost, like the cost of extending the grid, all too often left off the ledger sheet. Most wind power projects will end up costing more than we get out of them. That those boondogles can later be salvaged with more investment really isn't my point. I'm surprised you can't see that...
OK, I'm totally lying. I'm not surprised at all.
Even if we ignore the nuclear industry's self-defeating history of putting profit over safety... and the issues around nuclear waste disposal... and the fact that global nuclear power to deal with climate change would perforce allow global nuclear weapon proliferation... and the fact that nuclear power relies on a finite resource that would run out in about a century if we used it as our primary form of power generation...
You missed the part where I said:
No, I want an intelligent investment of money in nuclear power.And as for nuclear proliferation, your climate policy won't slow that down a bit. Way, way, way up thread Wrath had commented that he was more worried about nuclear engagement than AGW. At the time I let the statement pass but generally considered it to be alarmist. Now I'm not so sure and since nuclear weapons used in war isn't something we should be experimenting with because the downside is really steep, I'd have to say my opinion has moved over to be commensurate with Wrath's.

Quark Blast |
Climate change: 12 years to save the planet? Make that 18 months
Do you remember the good old days when we had "12 years to save the planet"?
Now it seems, there's a growing consensus that the next 18 months will be critical in dealing with the global heating crisis, among other environmental challenges.
Exactly this. The ball is rolling along at a good clip now. We'll see if it bounces into a thicket or increases momentum.

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Oh yes, so many citations it will take me a moment to read them all. Oh wait, there aren't any.
Some things seem obvious, but hey... its you. I shouldn't have assumed.
Citations proving the existence of scientific studies critical of wind power;
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S0006320713003522?via %3Dihub
https://pubs.er.usgs.gov/publication/70170860
http://gaia.pge.utexas.edu/papers/CRPS-BiomassPaper.pdf
Is this one of those words you've helpfully redefined in your own lexicon. You know, like "plagiarism"?
If they don't plan on connection and maintenance needs perhaps they deserve the derision I'm heaping on them.
Actually, you were claiming that wind power plants are "corrupt"... and your specific point here was that wind power built away from an existing power grid requires the extra cost of building out the grid. I pointed out that rural people deserve electricity too... and now you're on some tangent about your derision towards them.
How about local solar projects instead?
Errr... they were local solar projects. As in... out in the rural boonies. Where the electric grid hadn't been built yet.
Seriously, how are you not getting this 'no electricity' thing?
See... there are all these people living in these things called houses... but the houses don't have little wires going to each of them to carry this electricity stuff... because there is no 'electric grid'... are ANY of these words making sense to you?
Maybe even a cooperative to encourage efficient use as well.
Yeah! Those darn people in China! Why can't they be more communist!
Heh.
It's not the number of animals killed that worries me, it's the particular species. And those big wind turbines are putting the smack-down on some very rare birds.
A potentially valid point (who are you, and what have you done with QB?). Any evidence to show that wind power kills more of... precisely which species are you so concerned about? Or is it more in the 'completely unsupported conspiracy nut ravings' category?
No, I want an intelligent investment of money in nuclear power.
No, apparently you missed my point... that, from a climate change viewpoint, there aren't any "intelligent" investments in nuclear power any more. Nuclear power research maybe. Nuclear power with existing technology... no. Every dollar spent on such could be better used to produce more clean energy from wind and or solar faster.

Quark Blast |
Quark Blast wrote:Oh yes, so many citations it will take me a moment to read them all. Oh wait, there aren't any.Some things seem obvious, but hey... its you. I shouldn't have assumed.
Citations proving the existence of scientific studies critical of wind power;
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S0006320713003522?via %3Dihub
https://pubs.er.usgs.gov/publication/70170860
http://gaia.pge.utexas.edu/papers/CRPS-BiomassPaper.pdf
Your "obvious" citations failed to talk $$$, only bird numbers. Numbers, which on a per-turbine basis, we've had a good handle on for decades btw. It's the value of those dead birds that no one has systematically looked at. Biologists aren't economists it seems.
Quark Blast wrote:If they don't plan on connection and maintenance needs perhaps they deserve the derision I'm heaping on them.Actually, you were claiming that wind power plants are "corrupt"... and your specific point here was that wind power built away from an existing power grid requires the extra cost of building out the grid. I pointed out that rural people deserve electricity too... and now you're on some tangent about your derision towards them.
Hey, if they can't do even minimal accounting due diligence... yeah, that's corrupt.
Maybe even a cooperative to encourage efficient use as well.
Yeah! Those darn people in China! Why can't they be more communist!
Heh.
No, the correct question is: Why can't they be more capitalist?
Quark Blast wrote:It's not the number of animals killed that worries me, it's the particular species. And those big wind turbines are putting the smack-down on some very rare birds.A potentially valid point (who are you, and what have you done with QB?). Any evidence to show that wind power kills more of... precisely which species are you so concerned about? Or is it more in the 'completely unsupported conspiracy nut ravings' category?
Whoa! It seems I finally made a point in language simple enough that you were forced to comprehend it. Nice change. Keep it up.
As for the answer to your questions, let me plagiarize quote you:
"Some things seem obvious, but hey... its you. I shouldn't have assumed."
I would've cited some of my own but I'm certain you don't read my citations, so go find your own on this.

Quark Blast |
Quark Blast wrote:No, I want an intelligent investment of money in nuclear power.No, apparently you missed my point... that, from a climate change viewpoint, there aren't any "intelligent" investments in nuclear power any more. Nuclear power research maybe. Nuclear power with existing technology... no. Every dollar spent on such could be better used to produce more clean energy from wind and or solar faster.
This reply gets its own response.
Why?
Cause your third link up there says this:
Wind turbines produce electricity from the kinetic energy of the sun-driven wind, and will not be considered here.
...
We want to be very clear: solar cells, wind turbines, and biomass-for-energy plantations can never replace even a small fraction of the highly reliable, 24-hours-a-day, 365-days-a-year, nuclear, fossil, and hydroelectric power stations. Claims to the contrary are popular, but irresponsible.
You should read your own citations.
:D Snort! wipes away more tears of mirth
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CBDunkerson wrote:Your "obvious" citations failed to talk $$$, only bird numbers. Numbers, which on a per-turbine basis, we've had a good handle on for decades btw. It's the value of those dead birds that no one has systematically looked at. Biologists aren't economists it seems.Some things seem obvious, but hey... its you. I shouldn't have assumed.
Citations proving the existence of scientific studies critical of wind power;
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S0006320713003522?via %3Dihub
https://pubs.er.usgs.gov/publication/70170860
http://gaia.pge.utexas.edu/papers/CRPS-BiomassPaper.pdf
None of that is important to the point made. Which is that there are studies critical of wind energy. Disproving your claim that they don't exist. If pure existence is the point, no one cares what those studies actually say.
CBDunkerson wrote:Actually, you were claiming that wind power plants are "corrupt"... and your specific point here was that wind power built away from an existing power grid requires the extra cost of building out the grid. I pointed out that rural people deserve electricity too... and now you're on some tangent about your derision towards them.Hey, if they can't do even minimal accounting due diligence... yeah, that's corrupt.
No.
First, because incompetence does not necessitate malice. Second, because it is a perfectly valid position to not factor in the cost for power grid creation when talking about a power plant. I mean, we don't exactly build coal plants in the middle of our cities, so some grid will always be needed. Third, this still does not answer the point that people don't exclusively live in the cities.CBDunkerson wrote:No, the correct question is: Why can't they be more capitalist?Maybe even a cooperative to encourage efficient use as well.
Yeah! Those darn people in China! Why can't they be more communist!
Heh.
What does that mean? Whats the point you are making?
Also, wasn't your entire point that humans are too gready? And suddenly you want more capitalism?Whoa! It seems I finally made a point in language simple enough that you were forced to comprehend it. Nice change. Keep it up.
As for the answer to your questions, let me plagiarize quote you:
"Some things seem obvious, but hey... its you. I shouldn't have assumed."I would've cited some of my own but I'm certain you don't read my citations, so go find your own on this.
So CB has given you his sources, and you say that it is easy to find your sources, yet you don't post yours, after posting hundreds of links to pretty much every topic available, because we can "go find your own on this"?
That's the universal sign that you don't have anything backing your claim, and you don't actually want to discuss anything.Also, there is a difference between backing up a very general claim about the pure existance of something and backing up a very specific claim about very specific birds that are killed.

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CBDunkerson wrote:Quark Blast wrote:No, I want an intelligent investment of money in nuclear power.No, apparently you missed my point... that, from a climate change viewpoint, there aren't any "intelligent" investments in nuclear power any more. Nuclear power research maybe. Nuclear power with existing technology... no. Every dollar spent on such could be better used to produce more clean energy from wind and or solar faster.This reply gets its own response.
Why?
Cause your third link up there says this:
BioMass Paper CB Cited wrote:Wind turbines produce electricity from the kinetic energy of the sun-driven wind, and will not be considered here.
...
We want to be very clear: solar cells, wind turbines, and biomass-for-energy plantations can never replace even a small fraction of the highly reliable, 24-hours-a-day, 365-days-a-year, nuclear, fossil, and hydroelectric power stations. Claims to the contrary are popular, but irresponsible.
You should read your own citations.
:D Snort! wipes away more tears of mirth
Except that CB brought up that citation specifically because it is critical of wind energy, NOT as a source underlining his point about CC.
So you asked him for sources AGAINST his position, he gave them, and now you celebrating because "those sources are against your position". That leaves me with the impression that you don't actually know how sources work.

Quark Blast |
For the record: I got an "A-" once.
@Devon - None of the citations by CB talk $$$. The studies critical of wind power talk dead birds, and it's biologists who are making that obvious (and now decades running) claim. It's the $$$ you got to follow. The numbers don't work out on wind farms over their supposed lifetime. Then you factor in other costs, like the value of dead birds, and it's not even close. Solar is by far the better "green" choice, even at relatively high latitudes.
Nuclear doesn't pencil out either if you run the plants like the ones at Chernobyl or Fukushima. That's why I say let the United States Navy run them and site them on military bases to leverage the security already there that might be needed against terrorist types. Still I prefer Thorium reactors to the current standard and fusion to those (and everything else), if we could ever get one working and scaled.
As for everything else you recently posted:
Meh, you read for comprehension about like CB so no point in a more detailed reply.
But if you want to show me up:
Find a peer reviewed paper, published in a top journal, from the last decade, that is written by climatologists and is critical of wind power.

thejeff |
1 person marked this as a favorite. |
For the record: I got an "A-" once.
@Devon - None of the citations by CB talk $$$. The studies critical of wind power talk dead birds, and it's biologists who are making that obvious (and now decades running) claim. It's the $$$ you got to follow. The numbers don't work out on wind farms over their supposed lifetime. Then you factor in other costs, like the value of dead birds, and it's not even close. Solar is by far the better "green" choice, even at relatively high latitudes.
Nuclear doesn't pencil out either if you run the plants like the ones at Chernobyl or Fukushima. That's why I say let the United States Navy run them and site them on military bases to leverage the security already there that might be needed against terrorist types. Still I prefer Thorium reactors to the current standard and fusion to those (and everything else), if we could ever get one working and scaled.
As for everything else you recently posted:
Meh, you read for comprehension about like CB so no point in a more detailed reply.But if you want to show me up:
Find a peer reviewed paper, published in a top journal, from the last decade, that is written by climatologists and is critical of wind power.
Nice trick, because climatologists don't study things like the economics of wind power. Like that paper he linked critiquing the economics of biofuels - not written by climatologists.

Irontruth |

It's the $$$ you got to follow. The numbers don't work out on wind farms over their supposed lifetime.
You've made this claim, but we've already pointed out all the flaws in the article you linked (which you didn't even bother following to the source, but we did and it has serious flaws).
Go ahead, look over the two reports. Tell me why the 3000 wind turbine study in the UK is better than the 20,000 wind turbine study in the UK. Why should we take the cherry picked one over the one that analyzed all wind farms? Why should we exclude the other 17,000 wind turbines from our analysis?

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1 person marked this as a favorite. |

It's the $$$ you got to follow. The numbers don't work out on wind farms over their supposed lifetime.
All the (remotely plausible) numbers I have seen say the opposite.
Doesn't matter if we are looking at results from Lazard, BNEF, IRENA, the EIA, or any other reputable source. They all find that onshore wind is the least expensive option for most of the planet.
Then you factor in other costs, like the value of dead birds, and it's not even close.
Since fossil fuel power sources actually kill more birds than wind power, and have other vast external environmental and health costs, wind remains highly competitive when external costs are factored in.
Solar is by far the better "green" choice, even at relatively high latitudes.
Maybe so for solar PV (not CSP) if we place a very high value on dead birds.
Nuclear doesn't pencil out either if you run the plants like the ones at Chernobyl or Fukushima.
Again, just the opposite. The old nuclear plants running long past the point when they should have been shut down are the only ones which are cost competitive... and then only when we ignore the external costs of the inevitable meltdowns from time to time. Newer high safety nuclear power plants are not remotely cost competitive.
That's why I say let the United States Navy run them and site them on military bases to leverage the security already there that might be needed against terrorist types.
Obviously that doesn't work so well with countries other than the US. Presumably you'd oppose 'terrorist types' building their own nuclear power... so we're back to needing other solutions - even setting aside the prohibitive cost of nuclear.
Still I prefer Thorium reactors to the current standard and fusion to those (and everything else), if we could ever get one working and scaled.
Yes, theoretical future methods of power generation which magically have no drawbacks would be preferable to these boring reality based means.

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I also suspect the US navy reactors, as currently run, would be even more expensive to both build, run and maintain. That's part of the reason they have a better track record.
You already used the right word here - "better". Look at the wikipedia list for "military nuclear accidents" and you find plenty of incidents of submarines leeking contaminated water and other funny stories. And remember that many incidents stay classified for years and most happen far away from civilization, while nuclear power plants have to be build where people live.
Also, the navy reactors are not only more expensive, they are also notably smaller. A Nimitz-class aircraft carrier has 2 A4W reactors with about 550 MW output combined. The Byron Nuclear Generating Station, on the other hand, has 2 reactors with ca. 1100 MW gross capacity per reactor, for a combined power output of ca. 2300 MW. And that is not the most powerful plant in the US, not even the second most powerful.
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@Devon - None of the citations by CB talk $$$. The studies critical of wind power talk dead birds, and it's biologists who are making that obvious (and now decades running) claim. It's the $$$ you got to follow. The numbers don't work out on wind farms over their supposed lifetime. Then you factor in other costs, like the value of dead birds, and it's not even close.
4) The environmental costs of wind turbines are hand-waved away in the rush to install. These things kill birds (and bats) with alarming alacrity. And the birds they kill disproportionately are larger (and often threatened or endangered) birds.
Dead birds are important, except that dead birds are not important. Got that.
As for everything else you recently posted:
Meh, you read for comprehension about like CB so no point in a more detailed reply.
You have posted dozens of links with pages upon pages of quotes, one even about legal marijuana and the black market, but NOW you suddenly got something better to do? Yeah, right. Tell that to yourself if it makes you feel better.
But if you want to show me up:
Find a peer reviewed paper, published in a top journal, from the last decade, that is written by climatologists and is critical of wind power.
No. Why should I?
Either I find a paper - then you will claim that you have been right all along about wind energy not being efficient.OR
I don't find a paper - then that is proof that "big science" has suppressed everything, as you always said - which is even more proof that wind energy is not being efficient.
It's called a closed worldview. It cannot, by definition, be disproven.

Quark Blast |
Quark Blast wrote:But if you want to show me up:
Find a peer reviewed paper, published in a top journal, from the last decade, that is written by climatologists and is critical of wind power.No. Why should I?
Either I find a paper - then you will claim that you have been right all along about wind energy not being efficient.
OR
I don't find a paper - then that is proof that "big science" has suppressed everything, as you always said - which is even more proof that wind energy is not being efficient.It's called a closed worldview. It cannot, by definition, be disproven.
With the Internet at your fingertips, if it were true it would be easy-peasy to show me up.
Since it's not true, you take the low road of impuning my character to justify your inaction.
Argued like a true ideologue. Another thing you have in common with CB. Sadly.
I like the way Mother Jones stated the overall issue: 'It's us, not them'.

thejeff |
Devon Northwood wrote:Quark Blast wrote:But if you want to show me up:
Find a peer reviewed paper, published in a top journal, from the last decade, that is written by climatologists and is critical of wind power.No. Why should I?
Either I find a paper - then you will claim that you have been right all along about wind energy not being efficient.
OR
I don't find a paper - then that is proof that "big science" has suppressed everything, as you always said - which is even more proof that wind energy is not being efficient.It's called a closed worldview. It cannot, by definition, be disproven.
With the Internet at your fingertips, if it were true it would be easy-peasy to show me up.
Since it's not true, you take the low road of impuning my character to justify your inaction.
Did you even read that post? You set up the no win situation and you're complaining he didn't fall for it.

Quark Blast |
Did you even read that post? You set up the no win situation and you're complaining he didn't fall for it.
It's "no win" because wind power does actually cost more than we get out of it, when all real costs are factored in.
Something not true of solar* (PV), or hydro, or geothermal. Although biofuels are much worse.
* Except for those stupid solar roadways.

thejeff |
thejeff wrote:Did you even read that post? You set up the no win situation and you're complaining he didn't fall for it.It's "no win" because wind power does actually cost more than we get out of it, when all real costs are factored in.
Something not true of solar* (PV), or hydro, or geothermal. Although biofuels are much worse.
* Except for those stupid solar roadways.
No, that's one of your claims. The other is that the scientific process is corrupted so that no one can criticize Big Wind.
Put those together and no matter what paper Devon finds or whether he doesn't find anything, you claim victory. Either he supports your attack on wind or you can treat it as evidence of the conspiracy.Not to mention my earlier point that the conditions you put on what you were looking for were ridiculous - peer reviewed climatologists writing a paper on the economics and lifespan of wind turbines.

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QB: 'This policy paper from an anti-Wind think tank proves that wind power is corrupt!'
Reality: 'Um... did you fail to notice that it was written so long ago that the predictions it made should have come true by now... but haven't?'
QB: 'Well of course I had to use a false report from a biased source! The evil Wind conspiracy prevents any criticism from being published in scientific journals.'
Reality: 'What about all these criticisms of wind power that were published in scientific journals?'
QB: 'Those do not count! They have to be written in the past ten years... by cardiologists... studying entomology... in a 9 pt Helvetica font!'
Reality: 'Ok, here... we actually found one that meets your criteria.'
QB: 'Ah ha! You see! Wind power really IS corrupt!'

Quark Blast |
The real reality is that no one has met even half my criteria. I say half to appease thejeff's claim that I've set up a "no win" situation (whereas actually I just call it as I see it... but whatever).
Here's a couple of people who spoke at TEDx, videos I had not watched before today, that make two of the points I've made here recently.
Why renewables can’t save the planet | Michael Shellenberger | TEDxDanubia
From "What If" to "What's Next" in Nuclear Energy | Rusty Towell | TEDxACU
You don't like my reasonable claims? I can keep rubbing your noses in it for as long as you care to read my posts, OR you can enlighten yourselves a little and signal a little lot less.

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In my recollection there have only ever been three significant criticisms of wind power;
1 - Killing birds and bats. This was evaluated and found to be a relatively minor problem compared to fossil fuels and study of the problem led to ways to significantly reduce the impact. As a result, there isn't much scientific research of this issue any more... except, of course, for the unspecified study about wind disproportionately impacting certain unspecified endangered birds which QB has told us all about. Only, that's obviously just more fictional nonsense.
2: Mystical health problems. Various claims that sound (especially inaudible sound), flickering light, or other unexplained phenomena from wind power caused health problems in livestock and/or humans were evaluated, but no evidence supporting these claims was ever found. Again, the scientific community has moved on.
3: Intermittent cannot replace base load. This is the only one which is still around, and mostly only still pushed by 'nuclear is the only way' die hards. Everyone else has noticed how effective pumped hydro is and how quickly battery storage costs are coming down. Thus, this is the only option for 'recent scientific studies critical of wind power', and as it happens there is at least one which meets all QBs conditions (e.g. climatologists, cost analysis, etc);
https://www.pnas.org/content/114/26/6722.abstract
So yes, even with all the goal-post moving, QB's wacky conspiracy theory remains easily disproved. There is no evil wind power cabal secretly controlling all the scientific journals of the world to prevent critical research... rather, the 'problem' is that most of the criticisms of wind power have been proven false.
Even the 'wind power is intermittent' nonsense is pretty much dead at this point given that battery storage costs are now falling below natural gas peaker plant costs. That means wind, solar, and hydro can provide lowest cost energy most of the time, and when they AREN'T available it will be cheaper, faster, and more reliable to pull any needed electricity out of battery storage than to ramp up a fast natural gas peaker.
As a result, we likely won't see many more scientific studies criticizing wind power on this point... it just isn't a viable claim any more.

thejeff |
And even if we don't get to the point where we can always cover all the peak needs with renewables (even with batteries) and occasionally have to ramp up that fast natural gas peaker, that's still far better than using the natural gas for the base load.
But mostly I just find it funny that QB's jumped on the same conspiracy theory that deniers cling to, except he's using it in sort of the other direction.

Quark Blast |
And even if we don't get to the point where we can always cover all the peak needs with renewables (even with batteries) and occasionally have to ramp up that fast natural gas peaker, that's still far better than using the natural gas for the base load.
But mostly I just find it funny that QB's jumped on the same conspiracy theory that deniers cling to, except he's using it in sort of the other direction.
@CB - I'll read that article and get back to this thread at some point.
Otherwise I don't know that wind is "far better" than natural gas.
Solar? I think so. Mainly because recycling old panels has got to be easier than the scare-mongers intimate.
Scaled battery storage will matter most for the base load issue. Without that wind will always fail relative to solar (except in polar regions at least half the year). I expect molten salt batteries to outperform Li-ion or whatever rare-earth batteries that can be scaled.
As for science limiting free inquiry. We don't need to imagine "conspiracy" to have that happen. Group-think is a thing, even among the highly educated. That in fact has happened many times in the past and is happening today across several different fields. Climate science, because of the political aspect (which we won't be discussing here), has certain research programs that are anathema.

thejeff |
thejeff wrote:And even if we don't get to the point where we can always cover all the peak needs with renewables (even with batteries) and occasionally have to ramp up that fast natural gas peaker, that's still far better than using the natural gas for the base load.
But mostly I just find it funny that QB's jumped on the same conspiracy theory that deniers cling to, except he's using it in sort of the other direction.
@CB - I'll read that article and get back to this thread at some point.
Otherwise I don't know that wind is "far better" than natural gas.
Solar? I think so. Mainly because recycling old panels has got to be easier than the scare-mongers intimate.
Scaled battery storage will matter most for the base load issue. Without that wind will always fail relative to solar (except in polar regions at least half the year). I expect molten salt batteries to outperform Li-ion or whatever rare-earth batteries that can be scaled.
As for science limiting free inquiry. We don't need to imagine "conspiracy" to have that happen. Group-think is a thing, even among the highly educated. That in fact has happened many times in the past and is happening today across several different fields. Climate science, because of the political aspect (which we won't be discussing here), has certain research programs that are anathema.
It's exactly the same conspiracy theory that climate skeptics use to explain why the science isn't on their side: Research that doesn't agree doesn't get funded or published. "I know I'm right and if the scientific literature doesn't agree, then there must be something wrong with the process. It couldn't be that I've got it wrong."
Mind you, solar is great too. I certainly wouldn't argue against solar. Though, doesn't solar have the same problems with intermittency as wind and need the same kind of power storage solutions? One advantage to having both is that they're differently intermittent. They peak at different times and shut down at different times.