I'm sorry, I guess I'm just really not grasping the % to hit part.
Assuming the following AC's, what number would I use: (I should be able to figure it out from there)
AC: 5
AC: 10
AC: 15
AC: 18
AC: 20
AC: 25
You have to calculate it based on your attack bonus.
Let's say for instance, you have a +22 to hit on your main attack, against an average AC of 24 (which is the assumed AC based on the Bestiary, but you really should base it off the actual average AC of the encounters you face which may be a difficult figure to obtain which is why for purposes of internet forums we assume 24 which has its own set of problems) means you have to roll a 2 or better on the die, or rather, you cannot roll a 1. This is your optimal statistic here, and it means you have a 95% chance to hit something. Why is this? Because on a d20 every face represents a 5% chance probability. You can take the number of faces that will yield a result that will let you hit an AC of 24 and multiply that number by 5 and you will have the percentile figure that you need.
This method however is slightly flawed in execution beyond theorycrafting online characters mainly due to the fact that in most home games (at least the ones I run and the ones I play in) the DM adjusts the average AC of enemies based on the party. If this method held true, you would never need to get your attack bonus for your lowest attack below a 22 because the status quo established only requires that meaning in practice the highest attack roll you will ever need is a 37.
The actual usage and validity of DPR I have found to be more important on the DM side of things when designing encounters to determine how strong to make the bad guys. The real downside to using it is that if you become too comfortable with it, all your encounters end up getting trashed once the players hit the goalpost.
Okay, so let me just make sure I'm doing this right.
If I have a +6 to hit, my...
No
95%85%( 3 misses out of 20 since 4 Will hit)
60%( 9 Will hit so 12 hits out of 20)
45%( 12 and up Will hit that is 9 out of 20)
35%( only 2 worse than the one above)
10%( 19 and 20 Will hit)
I've been using this for a while now.I do too, it works pretty well!
This is the one I use also. I have modified it for furious focus, medusa's wrath, and one more thing which I can't remember, but they are all on different sheets. I keep telling myself that I will combine them, but I have not had the motivation to do it yet.
I find it funny about people bragging about how big their DPR pronounced 'diaper' is.
There was a story on RPGnet ages ago about that guy...
Rather than create a new thread I figured I would rez this one. How would I calculate DPR if I can't fail on a 1 and if I get an attack of opportunity if I crit? I don't know if it matters but let's say I can have up to 10 AoO/round.
For the crit you have to factor your chance to crit, and use the math for determining the DPR formula normally. It is similar to the formula I used for medusa's wrath.
As an exanple if you have a 10.4% chance to crit and confirm, then you multiply that by the DPR for your first attack.
Your chance to hit is normally which is C in the formula will still be calulated the same way even if you can't miss on 1.
You are not likely to get all 10 of those AoO's off in one round so that won't matter much unless you want to try to figure it out for a fight that is 10 rounds are longer.
So let's say I'm level 20, +37 to hit, 1d4+41 damage, 7 attacks (all +37 to hit), and when I crit (I auto crit and deal maximum weapon damage) plus 16d6 sneak attack. I can make an additional attack. The character is mythic so I don't know what the average AC is for a CR 20 mythic enemy.
So let's say I'm level 20, +37 to hit, 1d4+41 damage, 7 attacks (all +37 to hit), and when I crit (I auto crit and deal maximum weapon damage) plus 16d6 sneak attack. I can make an additional attack. The character is mythic so I don't know what the average AC is for a CR 20 mythic enemy.
A CR 20 monster should have about the same AC no matter if it is mythic or not.
What is your crit range?
Oops, 17+
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As stated previously the most important thing is to keep in mind the assumptions made when calculating DPR and the fact average statistics works well really only over a large, better still infinite, number of stochastic rolls. Very rarely do we roll an infinite number of attacks in a gaming evening unfortunately.
The outcome of squeezing a few more DPR out of your character is ultimately an exercise in theory-crafting and will unlikely result in massive awesomeness at the table.
Still sometimes fun to live in the world of averages.
Actually on that does any one just play 'averages'? Would actually speed up the combat.
S.
Akerlof, that post reads like a textbook in how to misinterpret DPR. Some thoughts:
a) DPR is a measure of the damage you output, rather than the damage your foe suffers. A lot of things can modify this. The one you will start encountering the earliest and most often is typically damage reduction.
b) DPR, as typically calculated, measures damage per full attack. It is not an actual 'per round' statistic, despite the name. Any round in which you fail to achieve a full attack makes a big difference. The more so the higher level you are, making DPR that much less reliable at higher levels.
Some notes (from my game) on how much divergence this can cause at higher levels.
c) And to refine the previous statement, DPR could be defined more accurately as "damage per full attack in perfect circumstances." Concealment? Mirror Image? Any non-AC defense whatsoever, pretty much? All pull the actual average down from the DPR. Non-AC defenses become much more prolific as you reach higher levels.
Because DPR does not consider any form of defense other than AC and hit points, it becomes a less reliable guide to performance, the higher level the game.