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I've been playing PFS for the past few months. First experience with tabletop RPG's and I'm totally digging it.
I am starting up a dervish dancer magus build and am using a scimitar (threat range 18-20). At level five I will often be using my magus arcana to apply "keen" to my scimitar (once I can afford a +1 scimitar) which would double my threat range to 15-20.
My question is when this is applied and my threat range is 15-20 what happens in those scenarios where my initial attack roll is a 15 without a bonus thus making it in the critical threat, but even with the bonus applied I do not overcome the targets AC?
I know this is a rare situation, but plausible. I've searched a number of forums and could not find an answer. I understand on a confirmation roll it doesn't crit unless you confirm, but can you threaten critical if you don't overcome the AC?
Thanks!

Jeraa |

Even if you roll a critical threat, you still have to actually roll high enough to hit the target. A critical threat doesn't automatically hit the target (except on a natural 20).
So if you roll a natural 15 (a 15 on the die), but you don't roll high enough to hit the targets AC, then its just a miss.

Chemlak |

Increased Threat Range: Sometimes your threat range is greater than 20. That is, you can score a threat on a lower number. In such cases, a roll of lower than 20 is not an automatic hit. Any attack roll that doesn't result in a hit is not a threat.
AKA what they said.