Hanomir |
I have grave doubts about the terms being identical between Starfinder and Pathfinder. They're literally described as situations where only luck comes into play in PF2, where all three examples in the SOM are in the Armada Combat System and refer to checks for officer actions which definitely aren't purely up to happenstance. A highly-skilled admiral, caster, or commander should be more likely to get good results than level 1 cadet - and the commander ability in question would fail 70% of the time without modifiers, making it much better not to even try.
Until I see otherwise I'm playing these as roll d20, add Officer Bonus, compare to stated DC (of 10 or 15). That puts them at a fairly reliable success rate of 65% or 45% to start, climbing to 80% or 60% at 18th level - more, if the Admiral's encouraged you successfully. I doubt you add the fleet check modifier to any of these, since they're all officer actions, but maybe the eventual FAQ & errata will say otherwise. And boy, does SOM need some errata.