NO COVID 19 VACCINE? NO GEN CON!

[CrystalSeas]

Freehold DM wrote:

How long is this going to be effective for?

Yet to be determined. You need people to take the vaccine, and then you need to keep measuring the anti-bodies in their blood. You have to test for a long time to know whether it will last for a long time.

[Freehold DM]

Well.

That just let the air out of my sails.

*sigh*

[pauljathome]

Freehold DM wrote:

Well.

That just let the air out of my sails.

*sigh*

The vaccines are a HUGE step forward. The situation will likely be a LOT better 6 months from now.

They're definitely not a complete fix but let's not that fact stop us from celebrating them and the people who created them.

I suspect that huge events like Gen Con will still not be allowed, but at least I'll probably be able to play at my game store :-)

[thejeff]

CrystalSeas wrote:

Freehold DM wrote:

How long is this going to be effective for?

Yet to be determined. You need people to take the vaccine, and then you need to keep measuring the anti-bodies in their blood. You have to test for a long time to know whether it will last for a long time.

But, assuming we can get decent compliance, herd immunity will kick in even with a relatively short effective time. The caseload will drop drastically and we'll see any resurgences as new outbreaks when immunity starts to decline.

Which will lead to more rounds of vaccinations. By then they'll have had longer to work and quite possibly have devised longer lasting ones.

[CrystalSeas]

thejeff wrote:

herd immunity will kick in even with a relatively short effective time.

From the National Institutes Of Health

The Long Road Toward COVID-19 Herd Immunity: Vaccine Platform Technologies and Mass Immunization Strategies

Quote:

A threshold value of ~67% is estimated to be sufficient for achieving herd immunity against SARS-CoV-2, assuming that the basic reproductive number (R0) of the virus is three, i.e., one infected individual infects three new individuals (9). Based on this estimate, ~5.3 billion vaccine doses are required for a single-dose vaccine, or possibly 12–16 billion in case of a multi-dose vaccine. Therefore, it is clear that inducing herd immunity by mass vaccination would be an incredibly powerful tool to contain the COVID-19 pandemic, but it also represent a massive challenge.

[Irontruth]

Freehold DM wrote:

Well.

That just let the air out of my sails.

*sigh*

*blows a little more air back into your sails*

[JoelF847]

The other question to consider is if large events like Gen Con will need to limit attendance to those with proof of vaccination since not everyone will have been vaccinated yet.