Megan Robertson
|
Company after company appear to be winding down popular and successful D20 Dungeons and Dragons lines. While there's always the urge to be up ahead with the current trends, do they really think that everyone's going to drop 3rd Edition D&D like a hot potato come the summer?
Even if 4th Edition D&D is as good as Wizards seem to think it will be, it's going to take time to percolate through the gaming community; while a lot of people remain ready to be convinced that the switch is worthwile at all.
Please, publishers, do not slam the door shut...
crosswiredmind
|
Company after company appear to be winding down popular and successful D20 Dungeons and Dragons lines. While there's always the urge to be up ahead with the current trends, do they really think that everyone's going to drop 3rd Edition D&D like a hot potato come the summer?
Even if 4th Edition D&D is as good as Wizards seem to think it will be, it's going to take time to percolate through the gaming community; while a lot of people remain ready to be convinced that the switch is worthwile at all.
Please, publishers, do not slam the door shut...
I think what you are seeing is the "time to market" pressure. Many in business believe that if you lag behind your competition you will lose market share. The ones that are switching over to 4E see 3E as a losing bet for the long haul. Given those two dynamics it seems inevitable that publishers are looking to switch sooner rather than later or risk becoming niche publishers.
| EileenProphetofIstus |
I miss the days where everyone simply had their own game. I recognize the opportunities the OGL offered. But looking at the situation now....I miss the individuality of companies.
Example, I play Top Secret/S.I., a game system unto itself. Now, if I want to play something similiar, I have to play Spycraft or basically D&D with spies. Oh, I'm sure something else is out there, but at the very least, it isn't in the forefront for me to see. Way to much d20 for me. When I buy another game, I don't want to feel like I am playing a D&D revised version in another setting, or a D&D revised fantasy setting/game.
| DudeMonkey |
Company after company appear to be winding down popular and successful D20 Dungeons and Dragons lines. While there's always the urge to be up ahead with the current trends, do they really think that everyone's going to drop 3rd Edition D&D like a hot potato come the summer?
Even if 4th Edition D&D is as good as Wizards seem to think it will be, it's going to take time to percolate through the gaming community; while a lot of people remain ready to be convinced that the switch is worthwile at all.
Please, publishers, do not slam the door shut...
Historically speaking, that's what happens. People "upgrade." Sure, there's tons of people upset about it beforehand and they all say they're only going to upgrade when froghemoths can fly, but the vast majority of people move to the newest version.
I'm a business analyst in the tech industry and this is how it goes there, too. The gaming industry is just maturing in a similar way to how the tech industry did 15 years ago.
WotC has a lot of momentum behind them and can change the industry on their own. They're basically big enough to create their own gravity, so to speak, the way Google, Sun, and Microsoft can in the tech world. WotC decides to push for 4th edition, the 3rd party publishers (typically correctly) assume there will be a lot of people upgrading over the first year that the new version is out, some people upgrade enthusiastically, most of the rest upgrade when they realize that the new stuff that they want is only compatible with the new version, a few get into the new game without historical knowledge of the previous versions, and a few never upgrade.
The gaming industry is interesting right now because of the quality of product that Paizo is putting out. That gives them a certain amount of ability to hold on to 3rd edition for a while if they want. Truth be told, they are likely to have to move forward, too, for one reason or another. I think there are enough businesspeople at WotC who realize that getting Paizo on board with 4th edition is going to make their lives so much easier. In fact, if I were a business analyst in the gaming industry, I'd be taking the Paizo people out to dinner, giving them sneak previews of 4th edition, sending flowers to their mothers, and doing everything I can to get them to have an AP ready to go for the release of 4th edition.
I realize that the gaming industry is very different from the tech industry, but I would be willing to bet that it's fundamentally the same from a high-level point of view. For those of you who read Ryan Dancy's articles about the OGL and the d20 system back in 2000, this is what he was going for.
The good news for everyone is that, by doing these kinds of things, WotC is basically able to pay people to play DnD a whole lot and spend even more time thinking about the game and all it's moving parts. They found some things that were really awesome about the game and some things that really just killed people's fun, and I think 4th edition is an attempt the make the game as fun as possible for as many people as they can.
I, personally, am looking forward to 4th edition. If my group doesn't want to buy into it right away, I'm looking forward to running Age of Worms, Savage Tide, and Rise of the Runelords for them ... three products that made me want to DM again after 20 years as a player.
Craig Shackleton
Contributor
|
I did see one company who had a full page as in Kobold Quarterly that indicated that they will continue to support 3E. I wish I could remember the company in question but I did notice that they used a "pirate" image in the ad and I'm a sucker for pirates.
That company is Dark Vistas. Unfortunately, I can't tell you anything else about them, but I have high hopes.
Snorter
|
Company after company appear to be winding down popular and successful D20 Dungeons and Dragons lines. While there's always the urge to be up ahead with the current trends, do they really think that everyone's going to drop 3rd Edition D&D like a hot potato come the summer?
Given that many of the 4E nay-sayers claim that "I've got enough 1st/2nd/3rd edition rules and adventures, that I can play from now till Doomsday, without buying a single new product", you can hardly blame publishers for thinking that it's time to move on...
I think we'll see a lot of product that's edition-neutral. Battlemats, map books, floorplans, etc, can be used by any group, while they finish off their current campaigns, read the new rules and decide if they're going to switch.
| tbug |
Example, I play Top Secret/S.I., a game system unto itself. Now, if I want to play something similiar, I have to play Spycraft or basically D&D with spies. Oh, I'm sure something else is out there, but at the very least, it isn't in the forefront for me to see.
I've heard good things about Wilderness of Mirrors, by John Wick.
DangerDwarf
|
I miss the days where everyone simply had their own game. I recognize the opportunities the OGL offered. But looking at the situation now....I miss the individuality of companies.
I echo that feeling as well. I don't want countless clone games. I like different games with different systems.
Dario Nardi
|
Speaking as a tiny publisher, here are 5 reasons why I am shutting down 3.5 stuff, and I suspect these points apply to others as well.
-- Sales for 3E are WAY down (according to Morrus at EN-World), and pre-orders for 4th Edition on Amazon are WAY up. What does that say? Just 2 weeks ago I released Secrets of Pact Magic. Every reader's review has been glowing. But can I get people to buy? Even with an incentive discount on the 4E version? Not really. (Shameless plug: www.pactmagic.com).
-- Development and production take time and money, anywhere from 6 months to 2 years. So if I think many people will be switching to 4E through 2009, and I can publish Jan 1, 2009, I need to close the door on 3.5 now (and work on flavor and non-stat stuff until I see the 4E rules in June).
-- Advertising and review options are abysmal (and abyssal too). Dragon was a major advertising option. Kobold Quarterly's circulation is still small and it's only quarterly. Companies have become protective to just get out their own stuff. Online sites haven't picked up the slack. Morrus on EN-World has been out to lunch about fixing the review system (broken since around the time 4E came out) and he has been slow (if not unresponsive) to post ads even when people have paid him. I've waited 5 weeks and still no ad. That leaves RPG-Net, which is now overburdened with ads (the chance that a visitor will see any specific add is small, since so many are in rotation).
-- The fact (and yes, it is a fact) that WotC lied last January regarding when they were going to release 4E also harmed any publishers who were taken off guard. Even those not surprised are likely wary. WotC's stealth campaign has left me skittish and not interested to produce more product until I'm sure about what's happening next [it also eliminated me as a WotC customer except what I will need to buy to conduct my own business.]
-- Finally, I suspect that once D&D Experience spills the beans on 4E in early March, the chatter will drowned out talk of "old edition" stuff.
Some of these points might sound like details. But details are what publishers have to deal with.
Snorter
|
Shameless plug: www.pactmagic.com
That does indeed look like a very fine product, and quite a labour of love. It looks like it could serve as the theme for a whole campaign.
Don't worry about your plug being shameless. If it were me, I'd be sticking that url code on every forum I could find.
The artist looks very familiar. What else has he done?
| Nicolas Logue Contributor |
I did see one company who had a full page as in Kobold Quarterly that indicated that they will continue to support 3E. I wish I could remember the company in question but I did notice that they used a "pirate" image in the ad and I'm a sucker for pirates.
Yep. I saw that ad too. And I KNOW they are going to keep supporting 3.5 long long after the edition switch. I cannot say more yet, as the company is just getting on its feet.
My bet is they won't be the only ones continuing to support 3.5 though. Never fear.
| lojakz |
-- Sales for 3E are WAY down (according to Morrus at EN-World), and pre-orders for 4th Edition on Amazon are WAY up. What does that say? Just 2 weeks ago I released Secrets of Pact Magic. Every reader's review has been glowing. But can I get people to buy? Even with an incentive discount on the 4E version? Not really. (Shameless plug: www.pactmagic.com).
Well, i must say this simply looks awesome! Shameless plug was a good idea, as I think i'll pick this up as soon as the wallet warrants it. (Which is soon. Very soon.)
Stereofm
|
I think what you are seeing is the "time to market" pressure. Many in business believe that if you lag behind your competition you will lose market share. The ones that are switching over to 4E see 3E as a losing bet for the long haul. Given those two dynamics it seems inevitable that publishers are looking to switch sooner rather than later or risk becoming niche publishers.
Sure, it makes a lot of sense from a financial point of view.
However, is it really necessary to remove the 3.5 items you still have in stock out of your online shop inventory like mongoose is doing right now, for instance ?
I understand that you stop making new ones, that you don't reprint the old ones, but ...
Dario Nardi
|
However, is it really necessary to remove the 3.5 items you still have in stock out of your online shop inventory like mongoose is doing right now, for instance ?I understand that you stop making new ones, that you don't reprint the old ones, but ...
Maybe WotC bought up all the copies! ;-)
<I'm being silly, not sarcastic>I wonder, while I agree Mongoose seems premature, any company switching to 4E might want to shut off 3.5 products to "encourage" their customers to go to 4E along with them as soon as possible.
Dario Nardi
|
Dario Nardi wrote:Shameless plug: www.pactmagic.comThe artist looks very familiar. What else has he done?
He has directed several films. He prefers to remain anonymous, which is why he's "J von K" in the book credits. This was his first outing doing fantasy illustrations. A number of the male faces in the book are based on him or his neighbors, if that's any help (shameless teasing). Personally, I think he should do more art and less film (I politely skip his stuff). Given that, you've probably guessed he's not Vin Diesel. (Vin Diesel is only 2 degrees away from me, alla 6-degrees of separation. Alas that's 1 too many at the moment.)
| Campbell |
crosswiredmind wrote:
I think what you are seeing is the "time to market" pressure. Many in business believe that if you lag behind your competition you will lose market share. The ones that are switching over to 4E see 3E as a losing bet for the long haul. Given those two dynamics it seems inevitable that publishers are looking to switch sooner rather than later or risk becoming niche publishers.Sure, it makes a lot of sense from a financial point of view.
However, is it really necessary to remove the 3.5 items you still have in stock out of your online shop inventory like mongoose is doing right now, for instance ?
I understand that you stop making new ones, that you don't reprint the old ones, but ...
It all depends on if you material is moving fast enough to justify inventory expenses. It could very well be that Moongoose's best move from an economic standpoint is to purge their stock. I would note that they haven't pulled their 3.5 material off of RPG Now.
Lisa Stevens
CEO
|
Company after company appear to be winding down popular and successful D20 Dungeons and Dragons lines. While there's always the urge to be up ahead with the current trends, do they really think that everyone's going to drop 3rd Edition D&D like a hot potato come the summer?
Even if 4th Edition D&D is as good as Wizards seem to think it will be, it's going to take time to percolate through the gaming community; while a lot of people remain ready to be convinced that the switch is worthwile at all.
Please, publishers, do not slam the door shut...
Paizo has a very full slate of 3.5 edition products scheduled up until GenCon that have been announced. We haven't been slowing down one bit as 4e approaches. So get your 3.5 fix here! :)
-Lisa
Megan Robertson
|
However, one of the more heartening things is the number of people - for example Kenzer & Company with their Kingdoms of Kalamar line - who are moving back inventory of D20 product into PDF, where it can be available in perpetuity with little cost to the publisher.
And if shameless plugs are in order, you can always read my reviews of, well anything role-playing I can get my hands on, at http://www.rpg-resource.org.uk/
(If it's sold here, the review appears here as well, of course!)
| CharlieRock |
Megan Robertson wrote:I think what you are seeing is the "time to market" pressure. Many in business believe that if you lag behind your competition you will lose market share. The ones that are switching over to 4E see 3E as a losing bet for the long haul. Given those two dynamics it seems inevitable that publishers are looking to switch sooner rather than later or risk becoming niche publishers.Company after company appear to be winding down popular and successful D20 Dungeons and Dragons lines. While there's always the urge to be up ahead with the current trends, do they really think that everyone's going to drop 3rd Edition D&D like a hot potato come the summer?
Even if 4th Edition D&D is as good as Wizards seem to think it will be, it's going to take time to percolate through the gaming community; while a lot of people remain ready to be convinced that the switch is worthwile at all.
Please, publishers, do not slam the door shut...
There have been very notable exeptions. GameMastery modules are relatively new (in 3E terms) but (imo) make up some of the best adventures in that system. I'd rank them right up there with Goodman Games' DCC line (better then, if your not into the 'retro' thing).
| Elorebaen |
My apologies for the thread hijack, but I also appreciate the "plug". This looks like a quality effort and I will be checking it out.
Best.
-- Sales for 3E are WAY down (according to Morrus at EN-World), and pre-orders for 4th Edition on Amazon are WAY up. What does that say? Just 2 weeks ago I released Secrets of Pact Magic. Every reader's review has been glowing. But can I get people to buy? Even with an incentive discount on the 4E version? Not really. (Shameless plug: www.pactmagic.com).
Matthew Morris
RPG Superstar 2009 Top 32, 2010 Top 8
|
Speaking as a tiny publisher, here are 5 reasons why I am shutting down 3.5 stuff, and I suspect these points apply to others as well.
-- Sales for 3E are WAY down (according to Morrus at EN-World), and pre-orders for 4th Edition on Amazon are WAY up. What does that say? Just 2 weeks ago I released Secrets of Pact Magic. Every reader's review has been glowing. But can I get people to buy? Even with an incentive discount on the 4E version? Not really. (Shameless plug: www.pactmagic.com).
Hurry up tax return. I'm 'gifting' myself some of it to gaming stuff, and a pact magic hardback is high on the list.
DeadDMWalking
|
Speaking as a tiny publisher, here are 5 reasons why I am shutting down 3.5 stuff, and I suspect these points apply to others as well.
I'll be purchasing your book within the next thirty days. As a tiny publisher, I can understand how the switch to 4th edition may seem important. There certainly is a problem with staying 3rd edition, and that is in contacting the customer base still loyal to that edition. Many of them are not on the message boards, and they won't go to places that are heavily in support of 4th edition. And the distribution costs of getting everything into local stores (where I like to do my browsing) is difficult.
But, I'm sure there is a market for the product. Best of luck with finding a sensible way to contact that segment and realize the sale.
| CharlieRock |
Megan Robertson wrote:Company after company appear to be winding down popular and successful D20 Dungeons and Dragons lines. While there's always the urge to be up ahead with the current trends, do they really think that everyone's going to drop 3rd Edition D&D like a hot potato come the summer?
Even if 4th Edition D&D is as good as Wizards seem to think it will be, it's going to take time to percolate through the gaming community; while a lot of people remain ready to be convinced that the switch is worthwile at all.
Please, publishers, do not slam the door shut...
Paizo has a very full slate of 3.5 edition products scheduled up until GenCon that have been announced. We haven't been slowing down one bit as 4e approaches. So get your 3.5 fix here! :)
-Lisa
And GameMastery is a great series of modules, too! =D
crosswiredmind
|
There have been very notable exeptions. GameMastery modules are relatively new (in 3E terms) but (imo) make up some of the best adventures in that system. I'd rank them right up there with Goodman Games' DCC line (better then, if your not into the 'retro' thing).
Absolutely. The iPod was not the first MP3 player either. I so totally agree that time to market in not as real a problem as some companies believe it to be but many have deluded themselves into thinking they must move fast to stay alive.
| Dale McCoy Jr Jon Brazer Enterprises |
-- Advertising and review options are abysmal (and abyssal too). Dragon was a major advertising option. Kobold Quarterly's circulation is still small and it's only quarterly. Companies have become protective to just get out their own stuff. Online sites haven't picked up the slack. Morrus on EN-World has been out to lunch about fixing the review system (broken since around the time 4E came out) and he has been slow (if not unresponsive) to post ads even when people have paid him. I've waited 5 weeks and still no ad. That leaves RPG-Net, which is now overburdened with ads (the chance that a visitor will see any specific add is small, since so many are in rotation).
Have you checked out Knights of the Dinner Table? They're pretty much the #1 RPG mag read by distributers, shop owners, and customers now that Dragon is gone. They're rates are reasonable given their readership and they even have a section for reviewing small press stuff.
| Dale McCoy Jr Jon Brazer Enterprises |
CharlieRock wrote:Absolutely. The iPod was not the first MP3 player either. I so totally agree that time to market in not as real a problem as some companies believe it to be but many have deluded themselves into thinking they must move fast to stay alive.
There have been very notable exeptions. GameMastery modules are relatively new (in 3E terms) but (imo) make up some of the best adventures in that system. I'd rank them right up there with Goodman Games' DCC line (better then, if your not into the 'retro' thing).
Mongoose was a "late" entry into the 3E market. They didn't even start working on their first product until a year in. Now they're IIRC the industry's #3, below only to WW and WotC.
| CEBrown |
Company after company appear to be winding down popular and successful D20 Dungeons and Dragons lines. While there's always the urge to be up ahead with the current trends, do they really think that everyone's going to drop 3rd Edition D&D like a hot potato come the summer?
Even if 4th Edition D&D is as good as Wizards seem to think it will be, it's going to take time to percolate through the gaming community; while a lot of people remain ready to be convinced that the switch is worthwile at all.
Please, publishers, do not slam the door shut...
The thing is they're in a Catch-22 situation - keep going with d20 and risk everyone either going to 4E or just dropping the game, or go with 4E and risk losing your shirt if it tanks.
If a company has the resources and personnel to do so, the best bet is to work on 4e and 3.x products in parellel, but very few have this ability right now (and fewer still can do it with any level of quality).I suspect most have the attitude of: "Let's put our 3.x stuff on hold; if 4e tanks or demaind for 3.x increases, we can trot it out and fill the void (and QUICKLY, since much of it is at or near completion now). If not, let's make sure we've got 4e stuff ready so we can ride the bandwagon as far as it goes..."
That's what I'd do...
| CEBrown |
However, is it really necessary to remove the 3.5 items you still have in stock out of your online shop inventory like mongoose is doing right now, for instance ?
It may well be, depending on the specific licensing agreement (they also may have already shelled out the $5K for the 4E OGL and be planning to release 4E versions - in that case, they'd actually be competing with themselves at the time of release!)...
| DudeMonkey |
The thing is they're in a Catch-22 situation - keep going with d20 and risk everyone either going to 4E or just dropping the game, or go with 4E and risk losing your shirt if it tanks.
Planning for 4e "tanking" isn't likely to be worth a significant effort. In general, when the industry leader moves in a certain direction, the industry is going to follow. There are always stragglers but they are not usually the more successful group.
New editions of products let people create some drama. Then when the new product comes out, everyone moves to it over the course of probably about a year and that's that.
| CEBrown |
CEBrown wrote:The thing is they're in a Catch-22 situation - keep going with d20 and risk everyone either going to 4E or just dropping the game, or go with 4E and risk losing your shirt if it tanks.Planning for 4e "tanking" isn't likely to be worth a significant effort. In general, when the industry leader moves in a certain direction, the industry is going to follow. There are always stragglers but they are not usually the more successful group.
New editions of products let people create some drama. Then when the new product comes out, everyone moves to it over the course of probably about a year and that's that.
Not EVERYONE.
I never moved to 3.5 (or even seriously to 3.0). Took me two years (due to unemployment, mostly) to move to 2E.I know some who never moved to 3.x, but still play (heck, when I moved out of the Chicago area in '99, I gamed with a guy who's brother had been running a game mixing 1e, original boxed set, and Empire of the Petal Throne rules for 20+ years without changing editions... He'd borrow books from players when new things came out, and if he liked something then he'd buy his own copy and "retrofit" it into the game).
| GregH |
Not EVERYONE.
No, of course not everyone. Heck anyone willing to point their browsers over to Dragon's Foot would realise that there is a 1st Ed AD&D community still out there. (How big, dunno. But it seems to be thriving.)
What DudeMonkey should probably have said was "most everyone moves to it". It's still conjecture, but it's probably correct.
There will be hold-douts, for sure. It may be the biggest hold-out "community" that D&D ends up having. But I suspect most will still end up moving.
Greg
Dario Nardi
|
Megan, DMcCoy1693, Snorter, lojakz, Matthew Morris, DeadDMWalking, and others...
thank you for your suggestions and high interest! I'll check out Knights of the Dinner Table. And yes, DeadDMWalking's comment about reaching customers is all too true (good luck selling if your customer doesn't know you exist.)
So far, I suspect most of those who've bought Secrets of Pact Magic are right here on paizo.com, a welcoming lodge for 3 E.
Megan, I hope you are continuing to feel better. And congrats on your website award! I would love to get my book into the UK via an online retailer, so folks in your locale don't have to wait so long (or pay so much, relatively speaking). Do you suggest Amazon.co.uk, or is there a UK-based online d20 retail site? And as you are a reviewer, perhaps a review copy for you is in order.... By the way, I linked your site from www.pactmagic.com/home.htm.
Megan may have titled this thread, "It's all rather sad," but I gotta say this thread is also full of Sweet. Sad + Sweet = ?