I know that AoO get's triggered by manipulate actions. Then if a Rogue uses the Mug feat, since Mug let's you steal and that steal as the Manipulate trait, it would trigger an AoO from an NPC/Monster who would have it. That being said, using steal on a success let the NPC/Monster unaware of the actual steal action... And since AoO is triggered before the roll for steal, an NPC/Monster might be able to prevent the Mug even if unaware of the actual Mug... Seems to me like this is an issue. Did that came up in any game anyone had? Seems to me like there should be an exception for this one which would be logical IRL even though it's not RAW? Any input on the matter?
I would consider it much less of am issue than provoking an AoO by trying to defend yourself with a Parry weapon.
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The logical explanation I can find is that the enemy notices you are attempting something that leaves you open to an attack and reflexively tries to prevent it, but unless you fail the skill check, they don't have a clue what it was you tried and don't know that it succeeded. From their point of view, all they saw was you setting up for some unknown combat maneuver and it getting thwarted by their attack.