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Well, a Solar Flare has to hit our exact, tiny point in space across all of that distance, which is quite a ways away. I wouldn't be too worried. It doesn't seem very likely.
The site claims that a chance of a hit happening in the next decade is 12%... that makes me doubt it's credibility.

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it has happened, it will happen. it is just a matter of when and how hard it hits. Something on the scale of the Carrington Event will kill the majority of the human race either directly by ending access to food, medicine or water or through the violence to follow.
And to any that say it is "only a 10% chance or so' i have a 10 shot revolver if you want to play russian roulette with those kinda odds

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Once were are without benefit of elctricity and modern tehnology, the Amish will swoop down on us like the Mongol Hordes. Try to sleep with that knowledge.
Extinction roll
1d100Okay, not this year, but soon.
even the amish will suffer, even if to a lesser degree. They buy supplies from the high tech world too and will likely become a target of violence.

Bill Lumberg |
Bill Lumberg wrote:even the amish will suffer, even if to a lesser degree. They buy supplies from the high tech world too and will likely become a target of violence.Once were are without benefit of elctricity and modern tehnology, the Amish will swoop down on us like the Mongol Hordes. Try to sleep with that knowledge.
Extinction roll
1d100Okay, not this year, but soon.
I offer complete, unfettered nonsense and you reply with a measured, thoughtful response?
You make me sick.

Vomit Guy |
1 person marked this as a favorite. |

Andrew R wrote:Bill Lumberg wrote:even the amish will suffer, even if to a lesser degree. They buy supplies from the high tech world too and will likely become a target of violence.Once were are without benefit of elctricity and modern tehnology, the Amish will swoop down on us like the Mongol Hordes. Try to sleep with that knowledge.
Extinction roll
1d100Okay, not this year, but soon.
I offer complete, unfettered nonsense and you reply with a measured, thoughtful response?
You make me sick.
I was sick once.....
HAAAAAAAAARRRRRPH!!!

Doodlebug Anklebiter |

Albatoonoe wrote:Well, a Solar Flare has to hit our exact, tiny point in space across all of that distance, which is quite a ways away. I wouldn't be too worried. It doesn't seem very likely.The site claims that a chance of a hit happening in the next decade is 12%... that makes me doubt it's credibility.
I found the same scientist making the same claim on the NASA website. It doesn't make the claim any more credible, but I don't think it has anything to do with the website.