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In our campaign, things haven't going well for the PCs in their taming of the Stolen Lands.

Specifically, they've had utterly horrendous luck with dealing with the Thorn River bandits - to the point where half the party was killed, and the other half run off to the derisive laughter of the bandits.

In the AP, it mentions that given time, the bandits might return to Oleg's in force. I think it's got to that point in our game - and I'm wondering about the consequences.

I can see it being a fairly even fight - Kesten and his soldiers have the more defensible position, and the bandits are cowardly at their hearts. That said, they certainly have numbers, and no doubt the Stag Lord has told them to "deal with the outpost" in no uncertain terms.

What are the likely consequences of the trade post being burnt to the ground? I'm assuming that Jhod would likely have been out in the woods when it occurred, but it does involve the death of Kesten, Oleg and Svetlana.

I'm torn between "staging" the fight whilst the PCs are resupplying, burning the outpost down whilst they are out exploring and having the bandits be driven off by Kesten, who then charges the PCs with dealing with the problem or risk having their charter revoked (although he would be bluffing - he doesn't have that sort of authority).

Thoughts and suggestions?