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Pathfinder Adventure Path Subscriber

Spoilers for Book 3: The Hook Mountain Massacre

While under suspicion of betraying the Black Arrows a poorly guarded Kaven escaped from the party's custody in Turtleback Ferry. Per page 145 of the Anniversary Edition of RotR Kaven will flee to Fort Rannick to try to reunite with Lucrecia. While the party is in hot pursuit his lead on them is such that, barring some magical intervention that I can't foresee, he'll make it to Lucrecia in time to warn her and she'll flee with him to Hook Mountain.

All of this makes sense to me logically, and I've already come up with an encounter to replace Lucrecia, but I'm worried about unforeseen consequences that might arise from Lucrecia's absence. I figured that she would have left the scroll listing the Paradise customers behind in her haste, but is there any other information the party will miss if she isn't there in person? Am I better off running the encounter as written, maybe just with Kaven on hand to help Lucrecia in battle? Should I fudge things to give the party a chance to catch Kaven?

Any advice or input is greatly appreciated.