
The Mad Comrade |
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Now that it looks like it's coming into Fl's spine, my outlook slightly changes.
If there's any good news it's that hurricanes loose tremendous power when they are above land as opposed to warm, shallow water (the Gulf).
I'm at work now, closing everything down, boarding and plastic-bagging, etc. Gotta get back soon.
But I'm honestly still not too worried. At home we've got enough water and food for a few days w/ no electricity. If Sarasota County rolls a Nat 1 on our Ref Save vs Irma we'll go ahead and fill the bathtub and our gargantuan recycle bin with water so we can still flush our toilet and maybe wash ourselves a bit when the water is turned off. But I think we can probably avoid that even with a nat 1. I'm more worried about our buildings at work.
Oh, and if you've never had to try to sleep in a house in FL with no AC in the middle of summer, well, say thanks to Sarenrae because it is miserable trying to sleep with no AC in summer in FL.
Irma's currently slated to be bringing 110+ mph winds half-way up the Florida panhandle. In buildings that lack hurricane-strapped siding and roofs, I'd be worried. About now it's probably way too late to evacuate from the tip of the state, between extreme gas shortages and the slow crawl north evacuees are facing.
I would've packed up and split this past Monday or Tuesday, probably heading to the in-laws' home near where DMCal lives.
'course we still have not-fond memories of the Christmas flooding of the major roadways there in '09 or '10, don't remember which year. We drove our lower-than-normal-ground-clearance car we had at that time through water half-way up the doors with all of the cats, luggaage and XMas presents, praying that the water wouldn't get into the engine and stall us out but good. Amazingly enough we made it. Arkansas State Police seemed a bit too cavalier at the time compared to NVa/D.C. Metro area po-po about coning off a flooded two-lane exit ramp!
The next morning we found all manner of YouTube videos showing the water riding high on the side of full-sized pickup trucks...

GM_Beernorg |
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Only lived through one tornado (but it was REALLY CLOSE) but as Cap says, yeah, there is that rush.
Tornadoes are rare in NY generally, the green sky was also very odd, kinda lovely though.
Wilted the kitchen table daisies with some creative short and colorful words eh Ambi...totally fair considering :)

NobodysHome |
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Living in earthquake country, I don't know which is better; having a few days to prepare, or just knowing that any day now, the earth might shake and knock over your house.
But I know you get used to it: As I posted in another thread, I was at the corner store shopping when a fairly long and substantial earthquake hit. Everyone except me fled the store past the large plate glass windows (really not a good idea). I just kept shopping with the two little girls one woman had left behind. As she returned, she said, "And there is the native Californian! An earthquake hits, and he just keeps right on picking out his tomatoes!"
Guilty as charged. And I didn't even make a snarky comment about also making sure her daughters were safe.
But to all of you in the path, good luck and be safe! I was in the '89 quake, so I know how crazy things get in the days after. Just be sure your phones are charged so you can keep Paizo-ing!

The Mad Comrade |
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If you've been playing the assorted app-games that feature battery-gobbling hours of game play, make sure your back-up phone batteries are fully charged as well.
We have four good ones and a couple of crappy ones, so if we had to we could make do for an extended period without power while remaining in contact with the outside world.
Good luck everyone!
Edit: repeating having done so for Harvey, the WaPo is removing its paywall for unlimited digital coverage re: Irma.
There's a bunch of articles in there that may be of use to the rest of Paizo-land.

The Mad Comrade |
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BTW, the energy contained in Irma is phenomenally strong.
Hurricane Andrew packed less than 14% of Irma's power.
...
or, Andrew was a bog-standard kobold compared to Irma being a storm giant. Comparative power-per-minute chart, Andrew vs Irma

The Mad Comrade |
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Irma shattered the sustained wind speed on record for Earth at 37 continuous hours vs. the previous record holder's 24 hours.
Edit: more useful information:
"If you are planning to leave and do not leave tonight, you will have to ride out this extremely dangerous storm at your own risk,"
This was re: leaving Friday night, which is basically past due. As of that time they had yet to open up/reverse the southbound lanes of I-75 and I-95 to facilitate evacuation.
Hotel rooms as far north as Atlanta appear to be fully booked. One person interviewed that left Thursday night at midnight took 12 hours to make what is normally a 4 hour drive north to Orlando. They are en route to Arkansas. One only imagines that this may well double again with more than 5-1/2 million people attempting to evacuate.

The Mad Comrade |
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Sharoth, I feel for you buddy. You're going to be cutting across the entirety of Georgia to get into Alabama, running directly into all the I-75 evacuation traffic.
Traffic in GA is showing stand-still traffic in spots as of Friday afternoon attempting to get out ahead of Irma. Google Maps is currently indicating that going to Huntsville, AL or that vicinity will take longer to drive the same distance as if you were going to Richmond, VA. You should be able to stop 2-3 hours earlier in Rocky Mount, Raleigh or Durham NC, although I'd probably go for Rocky Mount due to its proximity to I-95.
Please reconsider where you're going before heading out this morning. The best of luck to you and your family today, my friend.

The Mad Comrade |
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"If Irma hits south Florida as a Category 4 during high tide, the region could experience inland flooding across Florida’s southernmost 100 miles. "
2 a.m. update EST for Irma.
110+ mph winds forecast come Sunday into Monday all the way north on the west coast to Tampa, on the east coast to Orlando.
Good gravy I hope everyone that left in time manages to keep far enough ahead ... good luck everyone!

The Mad Comrade |
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2 p.m. EST update 9th Sept 2017 for Irma.
She's currently forecast to be packing 110+ mph sustained winds almost the entire length of Florida through 8 pm (or later) Monday. 60+ hours of sustained hurricane winds plus the forerunner and tail-chaser winds...
Best of luck, everyone.

Andostre |
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Holy cow, Delta!
Wow! I love that radar image of the flight between Irma's storm bands.

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Don't know how much help this might be but any Sirius and/or XM radio can access the weather channel right now even if you don't have a subscription.
Sirius channel 137
XM channel 202

Ambrosia Slaad |
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They are now showing that all of Marco Island, Naples, and a lot of Sanibel could be completely under water.
Amby, love, I hope you and others on the Gulf coast have gotten the f%%! outta there.
I'm in Lee County about 20 miles inland from Sanibel, sheltering in place with my parents. We have the windows shuttered on the north and west sides of their house, plenty of necessities (food/water, candles/flashlights, first aid, generator, etc.). Getting a bit breezy out and sporadic raining now. Officials called for mandatory evacuations in their area just this morning, but it was too late (and expensive) to leave. My parents wouldn't leave anyway, and I won't leave them here alone.
Their house survived Donna intact, so I'm (we're) hoping it withstands Irma. Mom's nervous, Dad's stoically unreadable (as usual), and the cat hasn't quite figured out what's coming. I'm worried about them, the house, my friends in the local schools/arena shelters, but I'm not frightened. That's not bragging or anything, maybe some disassociation involved, likely just lack of natural common sense around bad weather.
Wind and rain will likely pick up this evening and through the night. Last I checked this morning, Irma's eye will make landfall south of us in Naples, and be over us afternoon-ish or so. If the celltowers are working, I'll try to post again after the eyewall has passed. Wink will likely be updating the site and TV coverage throughout the storm, assuming their power and webhost holds up. If anyone is in Tampa, I'd haul butt to the east coast; not sure traffic on evacuation routes north will allow you to get out in time, and gas deliveries are likely cut off.
Hope everyone else manages to stay safe, and their property damage won't be too bad.

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@Ambrosia, the Slaadi may be frog-like by nature but if you're in Cape Coral/Fort Myers, whew. I'd be worried anywhere in 239. Good luck, Man.
I'm in Sarasota right on the water. I have a hotel reservation further inland for, heh, Monday. But I don't think I'll be able to get there Monday. So I'm going sometime Sunday. And am going to stay in the Marriott lobby until Monday when my room opens up. Blech. (A big part of me wants to just stay home.)

Ambrosia Slaad |
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And not to scare/worry anyone, but this video from the Bahamas is pretty freaky/possibly unsettling:
WaPo: "Hurricane Irma is literally sucking the water away from shorelines"

The Mad Comrade |
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And not to scare/worry anyone, but this video from the Bahamas is pretty freaky/possibly unsettling:
WaPo: "Hurricane Irma is literally sucking the water away from shorelines"
whoa

Treppa |
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And not to scare/worry anyone, but this video from the Bahamas is pretty freaky/possibly unsettling:
WaPo: "Hurricane Irma is literally sucking the water away from shorelines"
WOW.
I've heard of that before a tsunami, but didn't know hurricanes could do that.

thejeff |
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Ambrosia Slaad wrote:And not to scare/worry anyone, but this video from the Bahamas is pretty freaky/possibly unsettling:
WaPo: "Hurricane Irma is literally sucking the water away from shorelines"
WOW.
I've heard of that before a tsunami, but didn't know hurricanes could do that.
It's impressive, but apparently not uncommon. It's mostly not really "sucking", just blowing. Most of the water isn't getting caught up in the hurricane, just pushed further offshore by the wind. It's kind of the opposite of the storm surge.
It's dramatic because the water there is only a few feet deep quite far out.
Nor is it as much of a warning sign to run as the similar tsunami effect. The water will come back, but not in a sudden rush. Obviously still hurricane and dangerous and depending on your location relative to the eye, could still be followed by the full storm surge.

markofbane |
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Treppa wrote:They are now showing that all of Marco Island, Naples, and a lot of Sanibel could be completely under water.
Amby, love, I hope you and others on the Gulf coast have gotten the f%%! outta there.
I'm in Lee County about 20 miles inland from Sanibel, sheltering in place with my parents. We have the windows shuttered on the north and west sides of their house, plenty of necessities (food/water, candles/flashlights, first aid, generator, etc.). Getting a bit breezy out and sporadic raining now. Officials called for mandatory evacuations in their area just this morning, but it was too late (and expensive) to leave. My parents wouldn't leave anyway, and I won't leave them here alone.
Sounds like you are a bit inland from my brother-in-law, sister-in-law and nieces. They couldn't evacuate because one of my nieces was in the hospital until yesterday. They've got a half dozen pets they are sheltering in place with. They've done as much preparations as they could, but we are still worried sick.

The Mad Comrade |
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Ambrosia Slaad wrote:Sounds like you are a bit inland from my brother-in-law, sister-in-law and nieces. They couldn't evacuate because one of my nieces was in the hospital until yesterday. They've got a half dozen pets they are sheltering in place with. They've done as much preparations as they could, but we are still worried sick.Treppa wrote:They are now showing that all of Marco Island, Naples, and a lot of Sanibel could be completely under water.
Amby, love, I hope you and others on the Gulf coast have gotten the f%%! outta there.
I'm in Lee County about 20 miles inland from Sanibel, sheltering in place with my parents. We have the windows shuttered on the north and west sides of their house, plenty of necessities (food/water, candles/flashlights, first aid, generator, etc.). Getting a bit breezy out and sporadic raining now. Officials called for mandatory evacuations in their area just this morning, but it was too late (and expensive) to leave. My parents wouldn't leave anyway, and I won't leave them here alone.
We're all rooting for them to emerge unscathed!

The Mad Comrade |
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Sharoth is okay just asleep. Will talk at him tomorrow.
Glad to hear. He went to Alabama, right?
3 live cameras and tracking radar for Irma here on YouTube. Top left is Hollywood, Fl. Top right is Fort Myers. Bottom left is Miami. Bottom right is the tracking radar.
The usual gamut of live cameras in the Keys appear to either largely or all be offline.
Based on that radar and allowing a bit of speed picked up by Irma it would seem likely that her outer bands will hit Tampa/St. Petersburg between 4 and 5 this morning. Ballpark guesstimate. If she picks up a lot of energy and speed, earlier and worse of course.

markofbane |
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markofbane wrote:We're all rooting for them to emerge unscathed!Ambrosia Slaad wrote:Sounds like you are a bit inland from my brother-in-law, sister-in-law and nieces. They couldn't evacuate because one of my nieces was in the hospital until yesterday. They've got a half dozen pets they are sheltering in place with. They've done as much preparations as they could, but we are still worried sick.Treppa wrote:They are now showing that all of Marco Island, Naples, and a lot of Sanibel could be completely under water.
Amby, love, I hope you and others on the Gulf coast have gotten the f%%! outta there.
I'm in Lee County about 20 miles inland from Sanibel, sheltering in place with my parents. We have the windows shuttered on the north and west sides of their house, plenty of necessities (food/water, candles/flashlights, first aid, generator, etc.). Getting a bit breezy out and sporadic raining now. Officials called for mandatory evacuations in their area just this morning, but it was too late (and expensive) to leave. My parents wouldn't leave anyway, and I won't leave them here alone.
Thank you. And I'll include my Paizo family in my prayers too.
We talked to my brother-in-law a little earlier, and they seem as ready as can be. He's the type of guy that's a little rough around the edges, but he's exactly the guy I'd want him at my back in an emergency. Now its about waiting to see what happens.