Its Official, We Are Dumber Than We Used To Be.


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Silver Crusade

There is a new report in the journal "Intelligence" that proposes that people have grown dumber since the Victorian age. They came to this conclusion by studying the time that it takes to react to stimuli, rather than by looking at IQ tests which has been the standard measure until this study. Thoughts?


Since I've had a few IQ tests due to brain surgery, I can say with some confidence that the ones that I've come across are junk. I mean that they're junk in the sense that they "measure" things like perceptual ability while they claim to measure processing ability. They rely on things like eye-hand coordination while they claim to be evaluating your ability to follow direction. The tests themselves rely on your ability to understand the instructions (which sounds like intelligence, but can be skewed by things like dominant culture, language, and education). The memory tests relying on language are particularly faulty. There are even faults and false-negatives that can arise if you're colour blind.

Mind you, I'm not sure how well a test measuring speed of reaction defines intelligence. *shrug* At least, if it's simple test, you'd hope that there are fewer faults in test design.


There's always going to be dumb people and smart people.

With this study, I would argue that we're smarter now, considering the fact that there are probably far less illiterate people out there now.

Furthermore, I don't know if I'd trust the Daily Caller to present a scientific report without some kind of slant...

Silver Crusade

Tirisfal wrote:


Furthermore, I don't know if I'd trust the Daily Caller to present a scientific report without some kind of slant...

I did try and link to the original report, but you have to pay for the article. That seemed like too much of a burden to put on people.

edit: As for the illiteracy issue, I would say that is more a factor of education then it is of intelligence. There is no question that people are more educated today then they were in the Victorian period. The question though is whether that education actually translates into higher intelligence or not. Basically it comes down to a street smart vs.book smart question.


Apostle of Gygax wrote:
Tirisfal wrote:


Furthermore, I don't know if I'd trust the Daily Caller to present a scientific report without some kind of slant...

I did try and link to the original report, but you have to pay for the article. That seemed like too much of a burden to put on people.

Is it available in any scholarly journals?


You know what makes top tennis players (for example) so good? They take longer before they react to the stimulus of the ball. Now, after they react, they've got all their well-trained speed and strength and whatnot, and that goes faster than your average joe—but because they delay fractions of a second longer before acting, they've got more information to act on, and thus are less likely to do the wrong thing.

This sort of study where the stimulus was hitting a tennis ball in someone's direction would conclude that the best tennis players are more stupid, rather than more disciplined, than inferior players.

But, of course, g deniers have to come up with something as an alternative to g. If they admitted that g is intelligence, there would be all sorts of resulting conclusions that would be ideologically uncomfortable.

Grand Lodge

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Pathfinder Adventure, Rulebook Subscriber

Absolutely nothing official about it.

What's the saying? "Fools rush in, where wise men fear to tread"?

Silver Crusade

Tirisfal wrote:
Apostle of Gygax wrote:
Tirisfal wrote:


Furthermore, I don't know if I'd trust the Daily Caller to present a scientific report without some kind of slant...

I did try and link to the original report, but you have to pay for the article. That seemed like too much of a burden to put on people.
Is it available in any scholarly journals?

Yes, you can find the journal where it was originally published here. You can also find a link directly to the article in the linked article.

Silver Crusade

TriOmegaZero wrote:

Absolutely nothing official about it.

Yea, I was just looking for a catchy title.

Grand Lodge

Pathfinder Adventure, Rulebook Subscriber

Excellent choice then! :)


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Apostle of Gygax wrote:
There is a new report in the journal "Intelligence" that proposes that people have grown dumber since the Victorian age. They came to this conclusion by studying the time that it takes to react to stimuli, rather than by looking at IQ tests which has been the standard measure until this study. Thoughts?

What does reaction speed have to do with intelligence?


Apostle of Gygax wrote:
There is a new report in the journal "Intelligence" that proposes that people have grown dumber since the Victorian age. They came to this conclusion by studying the time that it takes to react to stimuli, rather than by looking at IQ tests which has been the standard measure until this study. Thoughts?

yep, the people at this time are dumbest than never before!!

here´s the explanation of that
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=icmRCixQrx8


There are a multitude of facets of 'intelligence". Reaction time is one of the smaller ones. Spatial reasoning, abstract thinking, and verbal skills are several I place greater importance on, personally.

The Exchange

Big Lemon wrote:
There are a multitude of facets of 'intelligence". Reaction time is one of the smaller ones. Spatial reasoning, abstract thinking, and verbal skills are several I place greater importance on, personally.

yep. Exactly.

Besides, one research is hardly ever conclusive. Besides, they are only comparing their measurment to one research performed long ago, which was by itself uncocnlusive.


The article itself makes me think that the author is dumber than most Victorians. I wouldn't say that necessarily extends to the rest of the population, though.

My wife's freaking cat reacts to stimuli faster than she does. Does that mean it's smarter than she is? (Answer: No, her cat is dumber than mud.)


So...completely redefining the trait being measured changes the outcome? You'd have to be less intelligent that the average Victorian for that to be surprising.

I'm going to release a study* in which BMI is used to measure intelligence. Hey look, I'm a genius! :P

* apology to studies everywhere.


I'm not so sure about this. It sounds stupid on the face of it, but if there is work linking reaction time to stimula to intelligence, which the abstract claimes, then there may be something to it.

Obviously, this probably doesn't correlate across species, so the cat's reaction time is irrelevant.

And if you can show that BMI correlates to intelligence, then it might be worth using it as a proxy for intelligence, since it's so much easier to measure. Without that, it's worthless of course.


thejeff wrote:
And if you can show that BMI correlates to intelligence, then it might be worth using it as a proxy for intelligence, since it's so much easier to measure. Without that, it's worthless of course.

I'd like to point out that I'm didn't say that BMI is a proxy for intelligence, or that it correclates. It is a direct measure. Fat = smart. What can I say? My reflexes suck.


thejeff wrote:

if there is work linking reaction time to stimula to intelligence, which the abstract claimes, then there may be something to it.

Obviously, this probably doesn't correlate across species, so the cat's reaction time is irrelevant.

1. Correlation =/= causation.

2. General correlation between variables =/= statistics regarding one variable automatically transferring to the other.
3. I fail to see how species would be at all relevant, assuming it has (a) some intelligence (not much, but some!) and (b) reaction time. The neurochemical processes in a cat's brain and a human's brain work pretty much similarly.


Then your analogy makes even less sense, though it stays amusing.

Because that's what the study is claiming. They're not "completely redefining the trait being measured", they're using something known to correlate with the trait.

Abstract wrote:
Simple reaction time measures correlate substantially with measures of general intelligence (g) and are considered elementary measures of cognition.

And they're doing so, I assume, because we have reaction studies from the Victorian period, but not worthwhile intelligence ones.


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thejeff wrote:

Then your analogy makes even less sense, though it stays amusing.

Because that's what the study is claiming. They're not "completely redefining the trait being measured", they're using something known to correlate with the trait.

Abstract wrote:
Simple reaction time measures correlate substantially with measures of general intelligence (g) and are considered elementary measures of cognition.
And they're doing so, I assume, because we have reaction studies from the Victorian period, but not worthwhile intelligence ones.

I deliberately picked a terrible analogy -- in fact, that was kinda the point. But my amazing BMIQ(tm) has allowed me to infer that you might be taking this more seriously than I am...


Kirth Gersen wrote:
thejeff wrote:

if there is work linking reaction time to stimula to intelligence, which the abstract claimes, then there may be something to it.

Obviously, this probably doesn't correlate across species, so the cat's reaction time is irrelevant.

1. Correlation =/= causation.

2. General correlation between variables =/= statistics regarding one variable automatically transferring to the other.
3. I fail to see how species would be at all relevant, assuming it has (a) some intelligence (not much, but some!) and (b) reaction time. The neurochemical processes in a cat's brain and a human's brain work pretty much similarly.

1. I said nothing about causation.

2. It depends on how strong the correlation is and how broadly distributed across subgroups it is. If the correlation has only been studied in recent years, of course, then it may not have held in the same way in the past. They could have been faster without being smarter.

3. Among cats, the correlation may well hold. Smarter cats may react faster. That doesn't mean that a fast cat will be smarter than a slow human. The processing speed may be there, but the rest of the infrastructure isn't.


bugleyman wrote:
thejeff wrote:

Then your analogy makes even less sense, though it stays amusing.

Because that's what the study is claiming. They're not "completely redefining the trait being measured", they're using something known to correlate with the trait.

Abstract wrote:
Simple reaction time measures correlate substantially with measures of general intelligence (g) and are considered elementary measures of cognition.
And they're doing so, I assume, because we have reaction studies from the Victorian period, but not worthwhile intelligence ones.
I deliberately picked a terrible analogy -- in fact, that was kinda the point. But my amazing BMIQ(tm) has allowed me to infer that you might be taking this more seriously than I am...

Not really.

It's just one of those studies that's easy to mock, but there may be more there than there seems at first glance.


thejeff wrote:
Smarter cats may react faster.

I have a total of one (1) observation (my cat is both faster and smarter than Mrs Gersen's cat), so it must be true! (Seriously, though, glossing over an unfounded claim in an abstract isn't too convincing.)


EDIT: Out here in the wilds of science-land, when someone makes an easily-mockable claim we expect three things:
(1) Data; (2) methodology; and (3) an explanation of WHY it is the way it is.
Assuming (1) and (2) check out, the omission of the 3rd criterion is enough to provisionally reject the hypothesis until one is offered and tested.

In this case it's worse, because we're left with TWO claims (1. people are dumber now, and 2. reaction time is a valid measure of intelligence), and we have no explanation for why either one should be, far less both.


Kirth Gersen wrote:
thejeff wrote:
Smarter cats may react faster.
I have a total of one (1) observation (my cat is both faster and smarter than Mrs Gersen's cat), so it must be true! (Seriously, though, glossing over an unfounded claim in an abstract isn't too convincing.)

Agreed. If I was actually reviewing that study for peer review, I'd look at it more closely. Like actually reading the study itself :)

OTOH, I wouldn't expect the abstract to defend that correlation. The paper itself should, probably by referencing the literature where it's been studied in the past.


OK, we've got this, from the article:

"They back up their claim by suggesting they know the reason for the decline in intelligence—smarter people having fewer children, while the less smart, have more."

Which would, to a large degree, be offset by the well-established regression to the mean (given the comparatively few intervening generations -- we're not fruit flies)? Also, the heritability of IQ itself is something we have a poor handle on: summary.

P.S. Paywalls suck; reading the paper would be 10x better than reading a summary of a summary of an abstract.


Kirth Gersen wrote:

EDIT: Out here in the wilds of science-land, when someone makes an easily-mockable claim we expect three things:

(1) Data; (2) methodology; and (3) an explanation of WHY it is the way it is.
Assuming (1) and (2) check out, the omission of the 3rd criterion is enough to provisionally reject the hypothesis until one is offered and tested.

In this case it's worse, because we're left with TWO claims (1. people are dumber now, and 2. reaction time is a valid measure of intelligence), and we have no explanation for why either one should be, far less both.

Really? And you expect all this in the abstract? In a form understandable by lay people? Or in a news article about it?

Or have you read the actual paper and found it to be missing these things?

Just from my reading of the abstract, I think the claim of this paper is only the first.
Your #2 is treated as assumed, that is taken from other research. A quick Google shows that there has been other work done on this and that it doesn't seem too controversial.

As for the 3 things you expect, assuming the Data actually show something and the methodology holds up, you don't get to reject that just because it can't be explained yet.
"I did these tests expecting X, but got Y instead. I don't know why.", is actually good science. You don't reject the Y because it isn't explained. Now other people know to start trying to explain it.


My life would have been easier if you were correct: "I am making claim Y, but have no reason why that should be, and some reasons why it shouldn't" has gotten me exactly nowhere with respect to getting other scientists to buy into Y. The best you get is "interesting, if it works out that way, but it needs a lot of work (and a mechanism) before it needs to be taken seriously." That seems to be more or less where we're at, with regards to the topic at hand.

That said, I should point out that Intelligence appears to be a legitimate peer-reviewed psychology journal, and not an online paper-mill, which means, presumably, that further research is in the works (enough to make publishing the current findings worthwhile).


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To me, intelligence tests—including the ones used in the study—have almost all a built in flaw: testing processing speed. How fast you can work through a problem or answer a question is a type of intelligence. But it is used through every single aspect of almost every single test. Every IQ test I ever took was timed. The tests used in this study deal with reaction time. There is an inherent problem with this.

Take two people taking the same test at the same time. Both come from the same socio-economic background and ethnicity (these are not factors in intelligence, but they affect test scores by changing the way you approach problems or communicate information. Many an IQ score has been thrown off by not taking these into account). One finishes every section of the test in the time allotted. She gets one out of every four questions wrong. Assuming that this average holds across all sections of the test, we can assume an IQ of roughly 150.

The second person is unable to finish most sections of the test in the time allotted. But every question she answers, she answers correctly. Still, at the end of the test she has only answered two-thirds of the questions. Again—assuming that average holds across the entire test—we can give her IQ at roughly 130-135. This is because most IQ tests regard an unanswered question as a wrong answer.

So we have the results: the person who took the time to carefully answer the questions and get them correct is considered less intelligent than the one who rushed through and got one out every four answers wrong. This nonsensical result impairs our understanding of intelligence. Who decided that that was the time required? What if we increased the time allotted? How do you measure imagination, inspiration, and moments of epiphany under a timer? Until these issues can be adequately addressed, IQ tests are pointless exercises in measuring how well you can think like a committee thinks you should think.


Reaction time =/= question answering speed, though.


Kirth Gersen wrote:

OK, we've got this, from the article:

"They back up their claim by suggesting they know the reason for the decline in intelligence—smarter people having fewer children, while the less smart, have more."

Which would, to a large degree, be offset by the well-established regression to the mean (given the comparatively few intervening generations -- we're not fruit flies)? Also, the heritability of IQ itself is something we have a poor handle on: summary.

P.S. Paywalls suck; reading the paper would be 10x better than reading a summary of a summary of an abstract.

The article does link the abstract. I didn't really pay a lot of attention to the Daily Caller write up.

Just going by that, I'd assume their suggested mechanism is the weakest part of the paper. It's a possible explanation, but not something their study was designed to test.


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Kirth Gersen wrote:
Reaction time =/= question answering speed, though.

True, but does the simple ability to react equate to intelligence? There are many animals in existence that have lightning fast reflexes. Are they by definition smarter than us?


See above. The Jeff maintains that it's somehow species-specific, but I remain unconvinced, insofar without a mechanism we have no way of drawing that line. Does it work for chimps and humans, but not cats? Housecats and mountain lions, but not dogs? At what point of divergence does this hypothetical species delinator kick in?


Pathfinder Rulebook Subscriber

I've known people dumber than their pets.
Anecdotal, I know. But there it is.


Feros wrote:
Kirth Gersen wrote:
Reaction time =/= question answering speed, though.
True, but does the simple ability to react equate to intelligence? There are many animals in existence that have lightning fast reflexes. Are they by definition smarter than us?

No, of course not. No one has claimed that.

Nor is there a claim that reaction time is intelligence, just that there is a correlation between simple reaction time tests and measures of intelligence in humans. Theoretically based on faster brain processing times.
I don't know if any one has studied it, but the correlation may exist in other species as well. But the larger difference between our intelligence and that of other species is brain size and structure.


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I'll throw out an alternate theory to explain slower reaction times: a sedentary life-style. People tend to sit and not move around as much as they used to. This may contribute to slower reflexive actions.


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thejeff wrote:

Nor is there a claim that reaction time is intelligence, just that there is a correlation between simple reaction time tests and measures of intelligence in humans. Theoretically based on faster brain processing times.

I don't know if any one has studied it, but the correlation may exist in other species as well. But the larger difference between our intelligence and that of other species is brain size and structure.

I see where you are coming from here, but has anyone proposed a theory explaining why there is a correlation between the two? That seems to be an important missing bit of data.

EDIT: OK, just saw the "Theoretically based on faster brain processing times" bit. But that seems to return to my original point: processing speed as the prime measure of intelligence.


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Feros wrote:
I'll throw out an alternate theory to explain slower reaction times

Or another: subconscious suppression of the constant multistimulus bombardment we surround ourselves with, by way of multitasking and being constantly "plugged in."

Like, maybe your brain intentionally slows you down a bit so you can function at all.

Scarab Sages

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I know I am less intelligent than i use to be.

I mean: I knew everything when I was 17, now I just have a bunch of questions.


Artanthos wrote:
I know I am less intelligent than i use to be.

I don't know if I'm less intelligent, but I can say that my processing speed is way down.


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Kirth Gersen wrote:

Or another: subconscious suppression of the constant multistimulus bombardment we surround ourselves with, by way of multitasking and being constantly "plugged in."

Like, maybe your brain intentionally slows you down a bit so you can function at all.

Good one! I like it.

Grand Lodge

Apostle of Gygax wrote:
There is a new report in the journal "Intelligence" that proposes that people have grown dumber since the Victorian age. They came to this conclusion by studying the time that it takes to react to stimuli, rather than by looking at IQ tests which has been the standard measure until this study. Thoughts?

I question the accuracy of:

1.) Intelligence testing in general, which has a long history of issues with test bias and methodology problems.

2.) The ability to accurately measure "reaction times" from the Victorian age to modern day and how applicable "reaction times" are to actual smarts.

3.) The accuracy of the measurements on the Victorian end of things. There may have been a lot of enthusiasm for science back in the day, but it tended more toward "SCIENCE!" than "science".

4.) Pretty much any science news story that I see on a political news site like The Daily Caller, but not many (or any) science news sites.


Kirth Gersen wrote:
See above. The Jeff maintains that it's somehow species-specific, but I remain unconvinced, insofar without a mechanism we have no way of drawing that line. Does it work for chimps and humans, but not cats? Housecats and mountain lions, but not dogs? At what point of divergence does this hypothetical species delinator kick in?
Really all I know about this is that there is a claim of a correlation between these two things:
Quote:
Simple reaction time measures correlate substantially with measures of general intelligence (g) and are considered elementary measures of cognition.

Assuming that this would be the only factor and that animals with much smaller and simple brains must be smarter than us if their reaction time is quicker is just mind-boggling to me. Of course brain size and structure dominate. But within a species, where the brains are similar, this effect could be noticable. I'm no expert, but this seems obvious to me.


Feros wrote:
thejeff wrote:

Nor is there a claim that reaction time is intelligence, just that there is a correlation between simple reaction time tests and measures of intelligence in humans. Theoretically based on faster brain processing times.

I don't know if any one has studied it, but the correlation may exist in other species as well. But the larger difference between our intelligence and that of other species is brain size and structure.
I see where you are coming from here, but has anyone proposed a theory explaining why there is a correlation between the two? That seems to be an important missing bit of data.

Yes. This isn't a new thing. This paper isn't proposing the link between reaction time and intelligence.

The Wiki page is a starting point.


I think I said earlier, there could be all sorts of reasons why the correlation wouldn't hold across historical studies. The old methodology could be bad. There could be other reasons why reaction times have slowed, though most of those could be controlled for, without having to use actual Victorians.

For example: If it's the sedentary or the "plugged in" nature of modern life, then you could compare modern groups who are more or less sedentary/plugged in. If the more group tests better on intelligence, but worse on reaction time, then you confirm that.


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FYI I've submitted BMIQ to the patent office. ;-)


This just occurred to me as well -- we've seen that chimps can register, memorize, and repeat a series of numbers flashed across a field nearly infallibly, and at a speed that no human can come close to replicating. One hypothesis was that their present-oriented "working space" (encompassing reaction speed and short-term memory) took up a lot of brain processing power that in us goes towards long-term operations (planning and consequence-based thinking). In other words, they're better than us in the one area because they're not as good in the other -- the two things may be working at odds.

One would expect, then, that humans with faster reaction times would score better on tests of short-term pattern recognition... but worse on tests of cause-and-effect and long-term planning thinking. And, yet, to call the former "intelligence" while disqualifying the latter seems more than a little bit silly. (If "mentally rotate this object" counts as intelligence, and "use logic and foresight to determine how to efficiently implement the following cascading outcomes, given the following input parameters" counts as non-intelligence, then overall I'd rather be "unintelligent" by that rating system.)


Exactly how did they get the measurement from the victorian age to compare it to, and where can I get my company a staff necromancer?


I believe they didn't actually make new measurements, they used existing data from old studies.

abstract wrote:
In this study we used the data on the secular slowing of simple reaction time described in a meta-analysis of 14 age-matched studies from Western countries conducted between 1884 and 2004

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